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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 7, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Calgary Flames 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.

NYI winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lewis–Backlund–ColemanKadri–Mangiapane–DubeToffoli–Huberdeau–LindholmLucic–Ritchie–RooneyHanifin–AnderssonWeegar–ZadorovDeSimone–MackeyWeegar–Hanifin
Parise–Palmieri–Pageau3:490.00–0.141:280.21–0.004:280.03–0.271:150.00–0.316:060.11–0.544:160.05–0.201:010.07–0.00
Bailey–Barzal–Wahlstrom1:110.05–0.002:300.16–0.021:390.11–0.333:120.30–0.311:490.02–0.05
Lee–Nelson–Beauvillier0:590.00–0.020:510.00–0.040:370.00–0.061:100.02–0.241:540.00–0.301:220.02–0.020:480.00–0.00
Bailey–Nelson–Beauvillier1:400.00–0.111:100.00–0.002:290.06–0.191:130.00–0.01
Lee–Nelson–Barzal1:020.19–0.000:490.00–0.051:260.33–0.002:560.50–0.05
Lee–Barzal–Wahlstrom0:380.02–0.001:040.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:340.03–0.001:240.00–0.00
Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas0:310.01–0.000:350.00–0.001:170.00–0.001:300.01–0.000:560.00–0.00
Martin–Cizikas–Barzal0:350.00–0.051:150.08–0.041:240.08–0.080:520.00–0.00
Martin–Palmieri–Cizikas0:320.00–0.100:480.00–0.02
Martin–Cizikas–Beauvillier0:500.00–0.060:410.00–0.06
Bailey–Cizikas–Beauvillier0:330.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Parise–Palmieri–Cizikas0:390.00–0.010:480.00–0.01
Bailey–Nelson–Barzal0:580.30–0.000:580.30–0.00
Palmieri–Pageau–Beauvillier0:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Bailey–Martin–Cizikas0:310.00–0.150:420.00–0.15
Bailey–Lee–Nelson0:520.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Pelech–Pulock1:110.00–0.024:520.23–0.086:340.05–0.272:420.18–0.046:590.34–0.116:220.07–0.323:260.11–0.02
Dobson–Romanov5:190.00–0.613:160.00–0.113:170.02–0.122:160.09–0.047:290.01–0.666:540.08–0.211:260.02–0.00
Mayfield–Aho4:490.38–0.122:470.15–0.050:470.00–0.063:290.02–0.534:570.21–0.615:260.34–0.102:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Mayfield–Pelech0:300.00–0.020:480.00–0.050:420.00–0.000:540.04–0.06
Pelech–Dobson0:410.00–0.000:340.21–0.000:390.21–0.000:520.00–0.00
Mayfield–Dobson0:450.00–0.311:030.15–0.31
Mayfield–Romanov0:420.10–0.000:430.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndParise FPalmieri FPageau FNelson FLee FBeauvillier FBarzal FWahlstrom FBailey FMartin FClutterbuck FCizikas FPelech DPulock DDobson DRomanov DMayfield DAho DSorokin GHuberdeau FLindholm FToffoli FColeman FBacklund FLewis FMangiapane FDube FKadri FRitchie FLucic FRooney FAndersson DHanifin DZadorov DWeegar DMackey DDeSimone DMarkstrom G
NYICGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus AnderssonCGY3827:490:441:1834
Noah HanifinCGY3626:430:451:2634
MacKenzie WeegarCGY4025:420:391:1418
Nikita ZadorovCGY3925:020:391:1317
Mathew BarzalNYI2824:010:511:2350
Adam PelechNYI3123:570:461:1935
Noah DobsonNYI2523:430:571:3130
Brock NelsonNYI2621:200:491:1954
Ryan PulockNYI2720:550:461:2334
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI3019:500:401:1444
Kyle PalmieriNYI2619:370:451:0933
Scott MayfieldNYI2219:240:531:5414
Alexander RomanovNYI2219:000:521:4420
Anders LeeNYI2218:530:521:2943
Mikael BacklundCGY2217:110:471:1632
Josh BaileyNYI2216:500:461:1932
Trevor LewisCGY2216:460:461:2234
Elias LindholmCGY2716:400:371:2115
Blake ColemanCGY2116:160:461:1542
Zach PariseNYI2316:150:421:0722
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2316:140:421:1212
Dillon DubeCGY2015:390:471:2111
Tyler ToffoliCGY2315:250:401:1642
Nazem KadriCGY2115:230:441:0201
Casey CizikasNYI2315:130:401:0924
Sebastian AhoNYI2115:090:431:3033
Andrew MangiapaneCGY1914:470:471:0211
Brett RitchieCGY1914:010:441:1302
Anthony BeauvillierNYI1714:000:491:1441
Kevin RooneyCGY2113:380:391:0811
Milan LucicCGY1813:120:441:0722
Oliver WahlstromNYI1711:010:391:0320
Matt MartinNYI1710:130:360:5813
Connor MackeyCGY1710:090:361:0600
Nick DeSimoneCGY179:300:340:5010
Cal ClutterbuckNYI63:320:350:4002