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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 8, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsVGK wins

Vegas Golden Knights

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Shea TheodoreD · #27011+1221:570.1667.9%+52.0
Alex PietrangeloD · #7000+1021:170.0236.8%0.0
Chandler StephensonC · #20011−1120:200.1758.7%+18.1
Mark StoneRW · #61011−1219:550.3153.4%+18.1
Brayden McNabbD · #30110119:200.0862.8%+29.5
Alec MartinezD · #23000+1018:420.0034.6%0.0
Jack EichelC · #91010218:170.2262.0%+18.1
William KarlssonC · #71022+2217:500.2451.5%+81.5
Zach WhitecloudD · #2000−1017:490.0021.7%0.0
Nicolas HagueD · #14000−1117:440.0239.0%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #10101−1117:260.3243.2%+12.5
Reilly SmithRW · #19202+2415:370.7056.6%+81.5
Jonathan MarchessaultC · #810000114:510.1054.6%0.0
Keegan KolesarRW · #550000113:430.1446.0%0.0
William CarrierLW · #280110212:080.4146.3%+12.5
Phil KesselRW · #80000011:370.0010.2%0.0
Brett HowdenC · #210000010:390.0432.2%0.0
Michael AmadioRW · #22000007:570.0011.1%0.0
Logan Thompson#36W31283.9033.35+0.360:23

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Auston MatthewsC · #34011−1523:130.5054.1%+24.2
Morgan RiellyD · #44011−1222:530.2349.0%+22.4
TJ BrodieD · #780000022:200.0024.7%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16112−1322:000.2552.9%+46.6
Justin HollD · #30000120:590.0146.1%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #150000319:020.5652.5%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37202+1218:420.1153.4%+36.3
John TavaresC · #910000417:130.9273.6%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #550000016:540.0058.7%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−1316:240.2372.4%0.0
David KampfC · #64011+1015:080.0013.7%+13.9
Rasmus SandinD · #380110014:480.0175.3%+24.2
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000−1313:360.1218.4%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12011+1012:290.0013.7%+13.9
Michael BuntingLW · #58000−1110:530.1556.5%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000−1210:410.0429.3%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000210:340.0471.2%0.0
Denis MalginC · #62000+109:200.1960.3%0.0
Erik Kallgren#50O20164.8002.94−1.160:23