Sat, Nov 12, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Arizona Coyotes 2, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 19 | 14 | 05 | 218 |
| NJD | 26 | 213 | 07 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:29NJDTomas TatarAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 9:04ARIDylan GuentherPPAssists: Matias Maccelli, Juuso Välimäki · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 9:27NJDJack HughesAssists: Tomas Tatar, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 8:19ARIClayton KellerPPAssists: Travis Boyd, J.J. Moser · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 11:19NJDJesper BoqvistGWGAssists: Erik Haula, Jonas Siegenthaler · Snap, 0.15 xG2–3
- P2 14:15NJDDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Jesper Bratt · Slap, 0.07 xG2–4
Penalties (15)
- P1 7:08NJDErik Haula: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:59ARINick Ritchie: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:51ARIJ.J. Moser: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:21ARIDylan Guenther: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 2:50NJDJesper Bratt: Holding2 min
- P2 3:10ARITroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:37NJDDougie Hamilton: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:18ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:18ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:18NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:55NJDFabian Zetterlund: Holding2 min
- P3 6:32ARIJ.J. Moser: Interference2 min
- P3 10:49ARIMatias Maccelli: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:51NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Holding2 min
- P3 15:50ARIClayton Keller: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Keller – Hayton2:44
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Keller – Hayton – Guenther5:04
xG 0.09–0.03 (78%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli8:56
xG 0.26–0.32 (45%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Fischer – McBain6:17
xG 0.16–0.52 (24%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gostisbehere – Välimäki2:32
xG 0.03–0.02 (59%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Stecher7:43
xG 0.24–0.26 (48%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Brown9:05
xG 0.33–0.51 (39%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Hischier – Zetterlund8:02
xG 0.42–0.08 (84%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Bratt – Sharangovich – Hughes6:09
xG 0.38–0.15 (72%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Boqvist – Mercer3:21
xG 0.26–0.07 (78%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Wood – Bastian – McLeod8:12
xG 0.33–0.16 (67%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson11:51
xG 0.70–0.18 (80%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Graves – Marino9:35
xG 0.17–0.20 (46%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler9:44
xG 0.24–0.37 (39%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).