Sat, Nov 12, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
New York Rangers 1, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 011 | 116 | 08 | 135 |
| NSH | 14 | 16 | 08 | 218 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:58NSHJuuso ParssinenAssists: Filip Forsberg, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 8:37NSHMark JankowskiGWGAssists: Roman Josi · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 11:56NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Adam Fox, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 1:23NYRRyan Reaves: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:51NSHCole Smith: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:52NYRKaapo Kakko: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:18NSHRyan McDonagh: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:49NSHMattias Ekholm: Holding2 min
- P2 5:08NYRSammy Blais: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:41NYRRyan Lindgren: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 9:41NSHRyan Johansen: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 12:03NSHJeremy Lauzon: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:03NYRRyan Lindgren: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:26NYRLibor Hajek: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:41NYRRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:41NSHTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:41NSHJeremy Lauzon: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Chytil won the faceoff against Parssinen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey6:23
xG 0.58–0.52 (53%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière7:43
xG 0.20–0.18 (52%)attempts 8–4goals 1–1
- Trocheck – Panarin – Gauthier9:40
xG 0.21–0.29 (42%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Blais6:20
xG 0.10–0.22 (31%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Trouba – Miller11:02
xG 0.61–0.69 (47%)attempts 22–11goals 0–2
- Hajek – Schneider8:55
xG 0.18–0.26 (40%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren8:40
xG 0.11–0.25 (31%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestJankowski – Jeannot – Smith8:52
xG 0.41–0.13 (76%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Granlund – Forsberg – Parssinen9:07
xG 0.26–0.26 (51%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Sissons – McCarron – Tolvanen3:53
xG 0.03–0.20 (14%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Duchene – Johansen – Niederreiter7:02
xG 0.22–0.49 (31%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkholm – Carrier8:03
xG 0.28–0.12 (70%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Josi – Fabbro8:33
xG 0.42–0.27 (60%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- McDonagh – Carrier3:07
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).