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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

New York Rangers 1, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.

NSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Kakko, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Goodrow, saved by Saros
  4. P1 1:23Reaves: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, McCarron, Lauzon, Tolvanen · NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Trouba, Blais, Miller

  5. P1 3:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak5v4
  6. P1 4:58Goal by Parssinen (Forsberg, Granlund)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro, Parssinen · NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière

  7. P1 6:37Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros
  8. P1 6:42Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros
  9. P1 6:51Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Jankowski, Fabbro, Jeannot, Smith · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin

  10. P1 7:29Shot by Kreider, saved by Saros4v5
  11. P1 7:47Shot by Trocheck, saved by Saros4v5
  12. P1 8:20Shot by Chytil, saved by Saros4v5
  13. P1 8:28Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Saros4v5
  14. P1 11:45Shot by Kreider, saved by Saros
  15. P1 11:59Shot by Forsberg, saved by Halak
  16. P1 12:02Shot by Forsberg, saved by Halak
  17. P1 13:52Kakko: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro, Parssinen · NYR Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière

  18. P1 16:10Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros
  19. P1 16:18McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Ekholm, Johansen, Niederreiter, Tolvanen · NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Trouba, Miller, Kakko

  20. P1 18:56Shot by Kakko, saved by Saros
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:19Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros
  24. P2 1:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros
  25. P2 1:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  26. P2 2:49Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros
  27. P2 2:49Ekholm: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Jankowski, McCarron, Carrier, Smith · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vesey, Panarin, Fox

  28. P2 3:08Shot by Sissons, saved by Halak4v5
  29. P2 4:12Shot by Jeannot, saved by Halak4v5
  30. P2 5:08Blais: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro, Parssinen · NYR Trouba, Vesey, Blais, Kakko, Schneider

  31. P2 5:45Shot by Vesey, saved by Saros5v4
  32. P2 7:21Shot by Blais, saved by Saros
  33. P2 8:37Goal by Jankowski (Josi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Jankowski, Fabbro, Jeannot, Smith · NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Gauthier, Miller

  34. P2 9:41Lindgren: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Niederreiter, Carrier · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  35. P2 9:41Johansen: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Niederreiter, Carrier · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  36. P2 9:43Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros4v4
  37. P2 11:08Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros4v4
  38. P2 11:56Goal by Chytil (Fox, Kakko)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, McCarron, Fabbro, Tolvanen · NYR Fox, Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière

  39. P2 12:03Lauzon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Duchene, Johansen, Niederreiter, Lauzon · NYR Lindgren, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière

  40. P2 12:03Lindgren: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Duchene, Johansen, Niederreiter, Lauzon · NYR Lindgren, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière

  41. P2 12:28Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Halak
  42. P2 12:46Shot by Schneider, saved by Saros
  43. P2 13:21Shot by Trouba, saved by Saros
  44. P2 13:50Shot by Jankowski, saved by Halak
  45. P2 14:44Shot by Fox, saved by Saros
  46. P2 15:01Shot by Schneider, saved by Saros
  47. P2 15:06Shot by Kakko, saved by Saros
  48. P2 16:53Shot by Vesey, saved by Saros
  49. P2 17:29Shot by Gauthier, saved by Saros
  50. P2 18:24Shot by Chytil, saved by Saros
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:11Shot by Vesey, saved by Saros
  54. P3 2:22Shot by Ekholm, saved by Halak
  55. P3 2:26Hajek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, McCarron, Fabbro, Tolvanen · NYR Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière

  56. P3 3:27Shot by Johansen, saved by Halak5v4
  57. P3 5:04Shot by Lauzon, saved by Halak
  58. P3 8:03Shot by Kreider, saved by Saros
  59. P3 9:35Shot by Carrier, saved by Halak
  60. P3 11:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  61. P3 11:51Shot by Parssinen, saved by Halak
  62. P3 13:05Shot by McCarron, saved by Halak
  63. P3 13:41Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Jankowski, Lauzon, Jeannot, Smith · NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Blais, Hajek, Schneider

  64. P3 13:41Jeannot: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Jankowski, Lauzon, Jeannot, Smith · NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Blais, Hajek, Schneider

  65. P3 13:41Lauzon: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Jankowski, Lauzon, Jeannot, Smith · NYR Reaves, Goodrow, Blais, Hajek, Schneider

  66. P3 13:47Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros4v5
  67. P3 14:32Shot by McCarron, saved by Halak4v5
  68. P3 15:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros4v5
  69. P3 15:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Saros4v5
  70. P3 16:56Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros4v6
  71. P3 18:29Shot by Panarin, saved by Saros5v6
  72. P3 19:53Shot by Trocheck, saved by Saros5v6
  73. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  74. P3 0:00Final