Sun, Nov 13, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Arizona Coyotes 1, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 017 | 09 | 16 | 132 |
| NYR | 04 | 214 | 29 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:05NYRBarclay GoodrowUnassisted · Snap, 0.28 xG0–1
- P2 16:23NYRAdam FoxGWGAssists: Filip Chytil, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P3 4:39NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–3
- P3 8:33ARIClayton KellerPPAssists: Nick Ritchie, Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 11:43NYRRyan CarpenterAssists: Braden Schneider, Jimmy Vesey · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 10:22NYRRyan Lindgren: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:10NYRJacob Trouba: Roughing removing opponents helmet2 min
- P1 15:39ARIBarrett Hayton: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:39NYRVincent Trocheck: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:04ARIJuuso Välimäki: Holding2 min
- P2 9:49NYRRyan Carpenter: Interference2 min
- P2 12:51NYRVincent Trocheck: Interference2 min
- P2 18:45NYRMika Zibanejad: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 19:55ARINick Ritchie: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:59ARINick Bjugstad: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:50NYRRyan Lindgren: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:03ARIMatias Maccelli: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bjugstad won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli8:28
xG 0.37–0.14 (72%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Fischer – McBain6:19
xG 0.23–0.13 (63%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Dauphin – Guenther6:34
xG 0.11–0.04 (76%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Boyd – Keller – Hayton8:12
xG 0.38–0.80 (32%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Brown9:38
xG 0.74–0.36 (67%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Välimäki2:46
xG 0.10–0.09 (52%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Stecher10:50
xG 0.15–0.23 (40%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey7:09
xG 0.41–0.14 (75%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Carpenter – Gauthier3:00
xG 0.24–0.26 (48%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière9:01
xG 0.15–0.18 (46%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Blais – Panarin3:49
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren12:06
xG 0.43–0.25 (64%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller13:04
xG 0.37–0.53 (42%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Hajek – Schneider11:06
xG 0.19–0.49 (28%)attempts 4–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).