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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 15, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Vancouver Canucks 5, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Martin
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Martin
  5. P1 1:25Shot by Boeser, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Aman, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 2:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin
  8. P1 4:32Horvat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power · VAN Myers, Miller, Burroughs, Horvat, Garland

  9. P1 6:24Shot by Peterka, saved by Martin5v4
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Lockwood, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 8:01Goal by Joshua (Aman, Lockwood)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Pilut, Lyubushkin · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Bear, Lockwood, Aman

  13. P1 9:18Goal by Bear (Horvat, Garland)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Bear, Garland

  14. P1 11:15Goal by Skinner (Dahlin, Tuch)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · VAN Schenn, Boeser, Dries, Hughes, Hoglander

  15. P1 12:42Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 13:20Shot by Dahlin, saved by Martin
  17. P1 13:57Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 14:04Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 14:08Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 14:09Shot by Bear, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 14:10Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 14:52Shot by Garland, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 17:27Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 17:37Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Martin
  25. P1 18:16Dahlin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · VAN Myers, Burroughs, Pettersson, Mikheyev, Kuzmenko

  26. P1 19:14Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:18Shot by Hughes, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 0:31Goal by Pettersson (Ekman-Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Asplund, Jokiharju, Bryson, Dahlin · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Pettersson, Hughes, Mikheyev, Kuzmenko

  31. P2 1:52Shot by Hoglander, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 2:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Martin
  33. P2 3:43Goal by Skinner (Thompson, Tuch)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Bear, Dries, Hoglander, Kuzmenko

  34. P2 5:30Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:20Lyubushkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Girgensons, Asplund, Pilut, Lyubushkin · VAN Myers, Miller, Horvat, Bear, Garland

  36. P2 6:28Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson4v5
  37. P2 7:10Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson4v5
  38. P2 7:13Goal by Miller (Horvat)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens · VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes

  39. P2 7:32Dahlin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Bear, Lockwood, Aman

  40. P2 8:09Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson4v5
  41. P2 8:25Goal by Horvat (Boeser, Pettersson)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Bryson, Pilut, Cozens · VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes

  42. P2 9:22Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 11:12Goal by Tuch (Power, Thompson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · VAN Schenn, Burroughs, Boeser, Dries, Hoglander

  44. P2 13:30Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 14:01Shot by Peterka, saved by Martin
  46. P2 14:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin
  47. P2 16:05Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 17:26Shot by Pilut, saved by Martin
  49. P2 18:22Horvat: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Bear, Garland

  50. P2 19:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin5v4
  51. P2 19:31Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin5v4
  52. P2 19:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Martin5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:31Shot by Dahlin, saved by Martin
  56. P3 1:02Shot by Power, saved by Martin
  57. P3 2:54Shot by Garland, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 4:35Shot by Olofsson, saved by Martin
  59. P3 5:55Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 6:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Martin
  61. P3 6:41Shot by Krebs, saved by Martin
  62. P3 7:04Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 8:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Martin
  64. P3 9:19Shot by Horvat, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 9:22Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Martin
  66. P3 9:57Boeser: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Girgensons, Asplund, Bryson, Lyubushkin · VAN Myers, Burroughs, Boeser, Pettersson, Mikheyev

  67. P3 10:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Martin5v4
  68. P3 12:02Goal by Mittelstadt (Cozens, Krebs)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka, Power · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Boeser, Dries, Hughes

  69. P3 12:22Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Martin
  70. P3 13:36Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Martin
  71. P3 13:39Shot by Pilut, saved by Martin
  72. P3 13:46Shot by Dahlin, saved by Martin
  73. P3 16:12Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 17:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Martin
  75. P3 18:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Martin6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final