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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 25, 2022·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.

PHI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Cates, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:45Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 1:11Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 2:20Shot by Letang, saved by Hart
  7. P1 3:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 4:21Shot by Carter, saved by Hart
  9. P1 6:35Shot by Rust, saved by Hart
  10. P1 7:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hart
  11. P1 7:43Shot by Petry, saved by Hart
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Heinen, saved by Hart
  13. P1 9:20Shot by Poehling, saved by Hart
  14. P1 10:28Shot by MacEwen, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 10:57Shot by Rust, saved by Hart
  16. P1 11:36Shot by Blueger, saved by Hart
  17. P1 11:37Goal by Archibald (Blueger)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Braun, Sedlak, Seeler, Brown, Cates · PIT Letang, Archibald, Blueger, Pettersson, Poehling

  18. P1 14:00Shot by Rutta, saved by Hart
  19. P1 14:12Heinen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Sanheim, Provorov, Tippett, Cates · PIT Carter, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen, Rutta

  20. P1 15:30Provorov: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Provorov, Laczynski, Cates, Farabee · PIT Petry, Archibald, Pettersson, Poehling

  21. P1 16:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hart4v5
  22. P1 16:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Hart4v5
  23. P1 19:12Shot by Sanheim, saved by Jarry
  24. P1 19:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Hart
  25. P1 19:29Goal by Crosby (Pettersson, Letang)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Hart
  29. P2 2:04Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Sedlak, DeAngelo, Provorov, Laczynski · PIT Carter, Letang, McGinn, Pettersson, Heinen

  30. P2 2:04Pettersson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Sedlak, DeAngelo, Provorov, Laczynski · PIT Carter, Letang, McGinn, Pettersson, Heinen

  31. P2 2:50Shot by Archibald, saved by Hart
  32. P2 2:59Goal by Poehling (Blueger, Petry)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI DeAngelo, Provorov, Bellows, MacEwen, Frost · PIT Petry, Archibald, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling

  33. P2 4:23Shot by Malkin, saved by Hart
  34. P2 4:33Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 5:12Shot by Letang, saved by Hart
  36. P2 6:25Seeler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen

  37. P2 6:25Seeler: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen

  38. P2 6:25McGinn: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen

  39. P2 8:38Shot by MacEwen, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 8:45Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 10:06Shot by Brown, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 12:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 12:32Shot by Cates, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 13:37Goal by Poehling (Blueger, Archibald)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, DeAngelo, Bellows, Tippett, Frost · PIT Petry, Archibald, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling

  45. P2 14:45Shot by Malkin, saved by Sandstrom
  46. P2 16:37Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 17:49Shot by Laczynski, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 18:09Shot by Crosby, saved by Sandstrom
  49. P2 18:40Shot by Rakell, saved by Sandstrom
  50. P2 19:19Malkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Braun, Sedlak, Sanheim, Laczynski, Cates · PIT Malkin, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph

  51. P2 19:19Sanheim: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Braun, Sedlak, Sanheim, Laczynski, Cates · PIT Malkin, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph

  52. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:20Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry4v4
  55. P3 0:58Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry4v4
  56. P3 2:27Shot by Sedlak, saved by Jarry
  57. P3 3:54Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 4:54Shot by Sanheim, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 5:36Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 5:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Sandstrom
  61. P3 7:16Shot by Farabee, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 7:17Petry: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, MacEwen, Cates, Farabee · PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen

  63. P3 7:17Shot by MacEwen, saved by Jarryother
  64. P3 7:53Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 8:22Shot by MacEwen, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 8:40Shot by Cates, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 8:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Sandstrom
  68. P3 10:04Goal by Hayes (Deslauriers, Sanheim)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Brown, Sanheim, Provorov, Cates · PIT Petry, Rakell, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling

  69. P3 10:11Shot by Blueger, saved by Sandstrom
  70. P3 11:12Shot by Braun, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 15:44Shot by Tippett, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 17:59Shot by Hayes, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 18:08Brown: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Braun, Deslauriers, Hayes, Seeler, Brown · PIT Carter, Petry, Rust, McGinn, Joseph

  74. P3 18:48Shot by Petry, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  75. P3 19:34Shot by Petry, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  77. P3 0:00Final