Sun, Nov 27, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 7, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 117 | 414 | 213 | 744 |
| CHI | 07 | 210 | 08 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:51WPGJansen HarkinsAssists: Adam Lowry, Michael Eyssimont · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 2:55WPGSaku MaenalanenAssists: Morgan Barron, Dominic Toninato · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 3:12CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 8:37WPGKyle ConnorPPGWGAssists: Josh Morrissey, Blake Wheeler · Slap, 0.17 xG3–1
- P2 9:52WPGSaku MaenalanenAssists: Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–1
- P2 15:09CHIJujhar KhairaPPAssists: Caleb Jones, Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–2
- P2 18:57WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Blake Wheeler, Cole Perfetti · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–2
- P3 4:37WPGPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.02 xG6–2
- P3 12:10WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Josh Morrissey, Kyle Connor · Tip-in, 0.12 xG7–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:40CHIJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:35WPGMorgan Barron: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:49CHISeth Jones: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:58CHICaleb Jones: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:30WPGDominic Toninato: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 11:17CHIReese Johnson: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 17:47WPGDylan Samberg: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:47WPGDylan Samberg: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:47CHIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:47CHIMax Domi: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lowry won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestToninato – Maenalanen – Barron9:11
xG 0.45–0.26 (63%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Lowry – Harkins – Eyssimont7:27
xG 0.42–0.25 (63%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti11:44
xG 0.47–0.36 (56%)attempts 17–7goals 1–0
- Connor – Dubois – Jonsson-Fjallby11:18
xG 0.08–0.43 (16%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Dillon – Pionk15:16
xG 0.46–0.49 (48%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Schmidt – Samberg13:35
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- DeMelo – Morrissey14:24
xG 0.60–0.78 (43%)attempts 15–12goals 2–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Athanasiou – Domi13:07
xG 1.10–0.14 (89%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev10:41
xG 0.41–0.06 (87%)attempts 8–4goals 1–1
- Blackwell – Khaira – Dickinson10:00
xG 0.14–0.51 (22%)attempts 7–18goals 0–1
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson6:04
xG 0.09–0.61 (13%)attempts 3–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones10:56
xG 0.58–0.04 (94%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Jones – Roos2:46
xG 0.49–0.12 (80%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Murphy – McCabe3:54
xG 0.30–0.02 (93%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).