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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 7, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Buffalo Sabres 9, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 67% of the time.

CBJ winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:28Robinson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Olivier, Robinson, Berni · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Bryson, Pilut, Krebs

  3. P1 3:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  4. P1 3:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  5. P1 3:21Goal by Cozens (Dahlin, Thompson)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Kuraly, Gavrikov, Peeke · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  6. P1 5:32Goal by Thompson (Tuch)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Gavrikov, Laine, Bjork · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  7. P1 7:28Goal by Dahlin (Cozens, Quinn)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Berni, Chinakhov, Sillinger · BUF Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  8. P1 7:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Merzlikins
  9. P1 7:37Shot by Bjork, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 7:50Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Skinner)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Gavrikov, Olivier, Robinson, Bjork · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  11. P1 9:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 9:43Shot by Peterka, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 10:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins
  14. P1 10:09Kuraly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Gavrikov, Olivier, Robinson, Bjork · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka

  15. P1 10:09Kuraly: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Gavrikov, Olivier, Robinson, Bjork · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka

  16. P1 10:52Shot by Roslovic, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  17. P1 12:01Shot by Olivier, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  18. P1 12:22Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Cozens)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Roslovic, Gavrikov, Peeke · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  19. P1 14:54Kuraly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Olivier, Robinson, Bjork · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Pilut, Power

  20. P1 15:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  21. P1 15:58Roslovic: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Bayreuther · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  22. P1 16:40Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Dahlin)3v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Gavrikov, Peeke · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  23. P1 17:01Shot by Quinn, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  24. P1 17:13Peterka: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Bayreuther, Robinson · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  25. P1 17:13Kuraly: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Bayreuther, Robinson · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  26. P1 17:13Power: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Bayreuther, Robinson · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  27. P1 17:30Shot by Jenner, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  28. P1 18:35Shot by Marchenko, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:15Power: Penalty shot throwing object at puck (0 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Peeke, Bayreuther, Marchenko, Sillinger · BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  32. P2 1:15Shot by Nyquist, saved by Luukkonenother
  33. P2 1:31Shot by Kuraly, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 1:33Shot by Kuraly, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 2:28Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 2:48Shot by Power, saved by Merzlikins
  37. P2 3:16Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Merzlikins
  38. P2 3:35Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 6:32Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Merzlikins
  40. P2 6:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Merzlikins
  41. P2 7:35Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P2 8:41Shot by Sillinger, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 9:23Shot by Peeke, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 10:49Goal by Laine (Roslovic)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni, Chinakhov · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Pilut

  45. P2 11:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 12:04Goal by Nyquist (Gaudreau, Jenner)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gaudreau, Jenner, Gavrikov, Bjork · BUF Bryson, Pilut, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  47. P2 13:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Merzlikins
  48. P2 14:28Shot by Nyquist, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 15:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins
  50. P2 16:07Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Bryson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Kuraly, Peeke, Robinson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Power

  51. P2 17:19Goal by Krebs, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Roslovic, Laine, Peeke, Bayreuther · BUF Jokiharju, Krebs, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  52. P2 18:07Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P2 18:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Merzlikins
  54. P2 18:49Shot by Pilut, saved by Merzlikins
  55. P2 19:16Goal by Tuch (Skinner, Bryson)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Peeke, Marchenko, Sillinger, Bjork · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Pilut

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:01Shot by Jenner, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 1:30Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Korpisalo
  60. P3 4:00Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 4:47Goal by Laine (Gavrikov, Chinakhov)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Roslovic, Gavrikov, Laine, Chinakhov, Bjork · BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Pilut

  62. P3 5:13Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 5:23Shot by Krebs, saved by Korpisalo
  64. P3 7:07Shot by Quinn, saved by Korpisalo
  65. P3 7:56Shot by Quinn, saved by Korpisalo
  66. P3 8:11Kuraly: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni, Chinakhov · BUF Olofsson, Bryson, Pilut, Quinn, Peterka

  67. P3 8:11Cozens: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni, Chinakhov · BUF Olofsson, Bryson, Pilut, Quinn, Peterka

  68. P3 12:56Shot by Robinson, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 15:49Goal by Nyquist (Bjork)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Gavrikov, Marchenko, Sillinger, Bjork · BUF Bryson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  70. P3 19:13Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Luukkonen
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final