Fri, Dec 9, 2022·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Boston Bruins 3, Arizona Coyotes 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 115 | 123 | 18 | 346 |
| ARI | 16 | 16 | 24 | 416 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:23ARIJoshua BrownAssists: Matias Maccelli, Lawson Crouse · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 4:52BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Slap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 7:48BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–1
- P2 10:40ARILawson CrouseAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Jakob Chychrun · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 0:53ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Clayton Keller, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 14:31BOSNick FolignoPPAssists: David Krejci, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 19:46ARILawson CrouseGWGAssists: Matias Maccelli · Snap, 0.12 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:43ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 7:45BOSTaylor Hall: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:45ARIJakob Chychrun: Holding2 min
- P2 1:45ARINick Schmaltz: Holding2 min
- P2 3:50BOSNick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:48BOSBrad Marchand: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:08ARILiam O'Brien: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 1:26ARINick Ritchie: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 12:33ARINick Schmaltz: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:48BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak3:13
xG 1.02–0.03 (97%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Smith – Nosek4:59
xG 0.35–0.07 (82%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk5:00
xG 0.27–0.18 (59%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Coyle – Hall – Frederic6:42
xG 0.39–0.36 (52%)attempts 7–5goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy3:45
xG 0.91–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–0goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy10:59
xG 0.96–0.37 (72%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Forbort – Clifton7:44
xG 0.24–0.03 (90%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRitchie – Keller – Hayton3:56
xG 0.15–0.09 (62%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller6:21
xG 0.34–0.56 (38%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli9:51
xG 0.40–0.67 (37%)attempts 9–14goals 2–1
- O'Brien – Fischer – McBain5:44
xG 0.07–1.04 (6%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Brown – Välimäki2:25
xG 0.08–0.12 (40%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Stecher7:07
xG 0.33–0.41 (44%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Chychrun14:19
xG 0.75–0.86 (47%)attempts 13–15goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).