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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 23, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 50% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Smith, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 0:55Shot by Smith, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 1:26Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 2:01Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  7. P1 2:13Shot by Novak, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 2:39Shot by Hunt, saved by Saros
  9. P1 3:33Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  10. P1 6:13Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  11. P1 6:14Shot by Duchene, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 8:03Josi: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Niederreiter, Jeannot, Glass · COL Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar, Newhook

  13. P1 10:12Shot by Malgin, saved by Saros
  14. P1 11:38Rantanen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Novak, Carrier · COL Hunt, Compher, Lehkonen, Englund, Rantanen

  15. P1 12:09Shot by Josi, saved by Georgiev5v4
  16. P1 12:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev5v4
  17. P1 12:25Shot by Johansen, saved by Georgiev5v4
  18. P1 12:26Goal by Johansen (Novak, Josi)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Novak, Parssinen · COL Johnson, Compher, Girard, O'Connor

  19. P1 13:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 13:54Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  21. P1 14:33Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  22. P1 15:36Shot by Smith, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 16:05Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  24. P1 16:23Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  25. P1 16:50Carrier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Novak, Carrier · COL Nichushkin, Toews, Rodrigues, Girard, Newhook

  26. P1 17:34Rodrigues: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Lauzon, Trenin, Smith · COL Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Newhook

  27. P1 18:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros4v4
  28. P1 19:38Shot by Ekholm, saved by Georgiev
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:14Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 1:11Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  33. P2 2:30Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 2:45Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  35. P2 3:15Shot by Compher, saved by Saros
  36. P2 3:26Shot by Trenin, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 4:20Rodrigues: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Niederreiter, Jeannot, Glass · COL Nichushkin, Englund, Rodrigues, Makar, Newhook

  38. P2 4:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev5v4
  39. P2 5:54Shot by Duchene, saved by Georgiev5v4
  40. P2 6:22Goal by Duchene (Glass, Niederreiter)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Niederreiter, Glass · COL Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Rodrigues, Makar

  41. P2 6:54Shot by Jeannot, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 7:15Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  43. P2 7:49Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  44. P2 8:45Shot by Meyers, saved by Saros
  45. P2 8:51Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  46. P2 9:15Carrier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier, Parssinen · COL Toews, Girard, MacDonald, Kaut, Newhook

  47. P2 9:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros4v5
  48. P2 9:47Shot by Makar, saved by Saros4v5
  49. P2 10:01Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros4v5
  50. P2 10:26Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros4v5
  51. P2 11:13Shot by Makar, saved by Saros4v5
  52. P2 11:21Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  53. P2 11:40Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  54. P2 11:55Shot by Malgin, saved by Saros
  55. P2 12:26Shot by Newhook, saved by Saros
  56. P2 12:35Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  57. P2 12:46Goal by Rantanen (O'Connor)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Niederreiter, Novak, Lauzon, Fabbro · COL Johnson, Englund, Rantanen, O'Connor, Meyers

  58. P2 13:30Shot by Ekholm, saved by Georgiev
  59. P2 15:27Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
  60. P2 17:24Shot by Trenin, saved by Georgiev
  61. P2 18:50Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  62. P2 19:08Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:23Shot by Jeannot, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 0:39Shot by Jeannot, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 1:22Shot by Smith, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 2:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  69. P3 2:43Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  70. P3 2:48Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  71. P3 4:05Shot by Meyers, saved by Saros
  72. P3 4:44Shot by Newhook, saved by Saros
  73. P3 5:16Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  74. P3 5:23Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
  75. P3 5:42Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  76. P3 7:11Shot by Johansen, saved by Georgiev
  77. P3 7:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by Georgiev
  78. P3 8:16Shot by Malgin, saved by Saros
  79. P3 8:18Shot by Meyers, saved by Saros
  80. P3 8:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Georgiev
  81. P3 8:44Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Georgiev
  82. P3 8:45Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Georgiev
  83. P3 9:36Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev
  84. P3 9:38Shot by Smith, saved by Georgiev
  85. P3 11:06Shot by Carrier, saved by Georgiev
  86. P3 12:26Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  87. P3 12:29Shot by Ekholm, saved by Georgiev
  88. P3 13:17Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  89. P3 14:09Shot by Compher, saved by Saros
  90. P3 15:05Goal by Compher (Lehkonen, Rantanen)+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Niederreiter, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot · COL Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  91. P3 16:16Shot by McDonagh, saved by Georgiev
  92. P3 17:32Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  93. P3 18:49Johansen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Trenin, Carrier · COL Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  94. P3 19:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros4v5
  95. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  96. OT 0:00Period start
  97. OT 0:46Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros3v4
  98. OT 2:25Shot by Duchene, saved by Georgiev4v4
  99. OT 4:17Goal by Girard (Rodrigues)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund · COL Rodrigues, Girard, Makar

  100. OT 4:17Period end4v4
  101. OT 4:17Final