Fri, Dec 23, 2022·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Los Angeles Kings 1, Arizona Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 115 | 05 | 02 | 0 | 127 |
| ARI | 111 | 04 | 05 | 04 | 1 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:45ARINick SchmaltzPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 11:54LAKAlex IafalloPPAssists: Sean Durzi, Phillip Danault · Slap, 0.07 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 2. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
- 3. ARI Nick Bjugstad scored
- 4. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 5. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 6. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
Penalties (12)
- P1 9:19ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:19LAKBrendan Lemieux: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 9:19LAKBrendan Lemieux: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:37LAKTrevor Moore: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:45LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:26ARINick Bjugstad: Holding2 min
- P2 5:26LAKSean Walker: Interference2 min
- P2 11:08ARINick Ritchie: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 12:18LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:28ARIJoshua Brown: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:42LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min
- OT 0:35LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Moore – Iafallo10:56
xG 0.24–0.18 (58%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Vilardi – Lizotte10:55
xG 0.36–0.43 (45%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Anderson-Dolan – Kupari5:18
xG 0.01–0.15 (8%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe11:08
xG 0.20–0.44 (31%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWalker – Spence12:12
xG 0.48–0.18 (73%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson18:22
xG 0.55–0.28 (66%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi13:26
xG 0.34–0.97 (26%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRitchie – Fischer – Hayton9:43
xG 0.74–0.08 (90%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli2:38
xG 0.08–0.01 (88%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – McBain6:03
xG 0.13–0.06 (67%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller13:02
xG 0.38–0.51 (43%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Moser9:12
xG 0.43–0.06 (87%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Välimäki2:05
xG 0.08–0.01 (85%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Stecher4:39
xG 0.41–0.38 (52%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).