Wed, Dec 28, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Detroit Red Wings 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:53Shot by Walman, saved by DeSmith
- P1 1:55Shot by Maatta, saved by DeSmith
- P1 2:36Goal by O'Connor (Kapanen, Blueger)+18 pts WP
On ice: PIT Blueger, Kapanen, Friedman, Joseph, O'Connor · DET Maatta, Oesterle, Veleno, Berggren, Soderblom
- P1 2:50Shot by Chiarot, saved by DeSmith
- P1 2:55Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith
- P1 3:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Husso
- P1 4:31Joseph: High sticking (2 min)5v6
On ice: PIT Carter, Dumoulin, McGinn, Heinen, Rutta · DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Walman, Rasmussen
- P1 5:19Shot by Hronek, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P1 5:59Shot by Kubalik, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P1 6:03Shot by Veleno, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P1 6:23Shot by Veleno, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P1 6:34Shot by Berggren, saved by DeSmith
- P1 7:05Shot by Rakell, saved by Husso
- P1 8:48Perron: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta · DET Perron, Maatta, Oesterle, Larkin, Rasmussen
- P1 10:15Goal by Carter (Kapanen, Rust)5v4+12 pts WP
On ice: PIT Carter, Zucker, Rust, Kapanen, Joseph · DET Erne, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen
- P1 10:29Shot by Sundqvist, saved by DeSmith
- P1 10:35Shot by Suter, saved by DeSmith
- P1 11:11Shot by O'Connor, saved by Husso
- P1 11:54Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith
- P1 12:59Shot by Rutta, saved by Husso
- P1 14:15Goal by Zucker, unassisted+8 pts WP
On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rust, Friedman, Joseph · DET Walman, Hronek, Veleno, Berggren, Soderblom
- P1 16:34Shot by Heinen, saved by Husso
- P1 16:37Shot by McGinn, saved by Husso
- P1 17:53Shot by Larkin, saved by DeSmith
- P1 18:17Perron: Interference (2 min)
On ice: PIT Crosby, Rakell, Guentzel, Friedman, Joseph · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen
- P1 18:33Shot by Copp, saved by DeSmith5v4
- P1 19:15Shot by Rakell, saved by Husso5v4
- P1 19:26Shot by Carter, saved by Husso5v4
- P1 19:27Goal by Zucker (Carter, Rust)5v4+4 pts WP
On ice: PIT Carter, Zucker, Rust, Kapanen, Joseph · DET Maatta, Sundqvist, Hronek, Suter
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:37Shot by Pettersson, saved by Hellberg
- P2 0:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hellberg
- P2 2:42Shot by Suter, saved by DeSmith
- P2 3:09Shot by Pettersson, saved by Hellberg
- P2 3:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Hellberg
- P2 4:46Shot by Hronek, saved by DeSmith
- P2 5:13Shot by Rust, saved by Hellberg
- P2 5:54Shot by Pettersson, saved by Hellberg
- P2 5:56Shot by Zucker, saved by Hellberg
- P2 6:03Rakell: Interference (2 min)
On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · DET Sundqvist, Hronek, Suter, Berggren, Seider
- P2 6:12Shot by Perron, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P2 6:47Shot by Larkin, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P2 7:17Goal by Larkin (Raymond, Hronek)4v5+3 pts WP
On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Rutta · DET Perron, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Raymond
- P2 8:54Shot by Erne, saved by DeSmith
- P2 9:18Shot by Perron, saved by DeSmith
- P2 9:20Shot by Larkin, saved by DeSmith
- P2 9:21Shot by Perron, saved by DeSmith
- P2 9:53Shot by Hronek, saved by DeSmith
- P2 12:27Shot by Seider, saved by DeSmith
- P2 12:49Shot by Blueger, saved by Hellberg
- P2 13:55Shot by Rutta, saved by Hellberg
- P2 14:32Goal by Veleno (Chiarot, Soderblom)+7 pts WP
On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta · DET Chiarot, Veleno, Berggren, Seider, Soderblom
- P2 15:18Shot by Kubalik, saved by DeSmith
- P2 17:51Shot by Maatta, saved by DeSmith
- P2 17:55Shot by Chiarot, saved by DeSmith
- P2 18:30Shot by Sundqvist, saved by DeSmith
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:14Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith
- P3 4:05Shot by Letang, saved by Hellberg
- P3 4:34Shot by Seider, saved by DeSmith
- P3 4:48Shot by Copp, saved by DeSmith
- P3 5:08Shot by Letang, saved by Hellberg
- P3 5:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Hellberg
- P3 5:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Hellberg
- P3 5:38Shot by Kubalik, saved by DeSmith
- P3 6:19Shot by Veleno, saved by DeSmith
- P3 6:22Shot by Veleno, saved by DeSmith
- P3 6:24Shot by Walman, saved by DeSmith
- P3 8:17Shot by Sundqvist, saved by DeSmith
- P3 9:12Shot by McGinn, saved by Hellberg
- P3 9:52Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Guentzel, Pettersson, Heinen · DET Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 10:44Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P3 11:14Shot by Larkin, saved by DeSmith4v5
- P3 15:00Goal by Berggren, unassisted+11 pts WP
On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · DET Chiarot, Veleno, Berggren, Seider, Soderblom
- P3 15:47Shot by Zucker, saved by Hellberg
- P3 16:41Heinen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · DET Copp, Erne, Oesterle, Walman, Raymond
- P3 16:52Goal by Perron (Rasmussen, Raymond)4v5+36 pts WP
On ice: PIT Carter, Dumoulin, Rust, Rutta · DET Perron, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Raymond
- P3 17:29Shot by Rakell, saved by Hellberg
- P3 18:00Shot by Zucker, saved by Hellberg
- P3 18:35Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith
- P3 18:50Shot by Erne, saved by DeSmith
- P3 0:00Period end
- OT 0:00Period start
- OT 1:18Shot by Rust, saved by Hellberg3v3
- OT 1:59Shot by Rasmussen, saved by DeSmith3v3
- OT 2:07Shot by Joseph, saved by Hellberg3v3
- OT 2:13Goal by Walman (Copp)3v3+52 pts WP
On ice: PIT Crosby, Guentzel, Joseph · DET Copp, Walman, Rasmussen
- OT 2:13Period end4v4
- OT 2:13Final