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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 2, 2023·Fenway Park, BostonOutdoor game

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.

BOS winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Rust–GuentzelMalkin–Zucker–RakellCarter–Blueger–McGinnMalkin–Kapanen–HeinenCarter–Kapanen–HeinenMalkin–Zucker–RustCarter–Rust–RakellPettersson–RuttaFriedman–JosephDumoulin–SmithDumoulin–RuhwedelDumoulin–RuttaJoseph–Rutta
Bergeron–Marchand–DeBrusk6:090.01–0.421:030.00–0.000:490.23–0.000:370.00–0.005:220.01–0.280:570.22–0.001:270.00–0.141:440.00–0.00
Krejci–Pastrnak–Zacha0:330.00–0.074:090.04–0.272:030.02–0.050:360.02–0.002:430.01–0.302:050.04–0.021:540.02–0.051:030.01–0.00
Coyle–Hall–Frederic1:050.00–0.010:510.00–0.001:580.05–0.000:550.09–0.101:460.05–0.122:080.14–0.001:370.00–0.00
Foligno–Smith–Nosek1:180.02–0.010:550.04–0.001:060.02–0.012:130.20–0.060:320.00–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak3:410.08–0.002:450.08–0.00
Coyle–Zacha–Frederic0:410.00–0.000:550.00–0.090:330.00–0.000:540.00–0.081:470.00–0.01
Krejci–Hall–DeBrusk1:380.29–0.001:190.29–0.01
Foligno–Coyle–Zacha1:070.10–0.000:430.10–0.00
Forbort–Clifton1:130.00–0.010:420.00–0.024:220.08–0.051:180.00–0.161:280.09–0.100:330.00–0.002:370.00–0.113:330.15–0.111:060.00–0.032:210.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Lindholm–Carlo8:430.00–0.360:580.00–0.006:400.01–0.160:520.00–0.001:280.00–0.191:410.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy1:280.04–0.165:550.29–0.291:380.00–0.030:300.02–0.000:410.04–0.002:430.09–0.412:460.00–0.072:330.06–0.021:250.00–0.030:480.00–0.03
Lindholm–McAvoy3:290.40–0.021:040.03–0.122:570.08–0.020:470.35–0.08
Grzelcyk–Carlo1:350.29–0.000:340.15–0.001:030.15–0.000:560.29–0.00
Forbort–Carlo0:460.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:200.00–0.00
Lindholm–Clifton0:530.10–0.00
Forbort–McAvoy0:370.03–0.000:300.00–0.030:320.25–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FKrejci FZacha FPastrnak FFrederic FCoyle FHall FSmith FFoligno FNosek FCarlo DLindholm DGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DForbort DClifton DUllmark GRust FGuentzel FCrosby FRakell FMcGinn FBlueger FCarter FZucker FMalkin FKapanen FHeinen FPettersson DRutta DDumoulin DSmith DFriedman DJoseph DRuhwedel DJarry GDeSmith G
BOSPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Bryan RustPIT3026:060:522:1060
Marcus PetterssonPIT3225:560:492:0572
Hampus LindholmBOS3424:110:431:1357
Sidney CrosbyPIT2723:510:532:1181
Jake GuentzelPIT2923:420:491:29100
Charlie McAvoyBOS2923:000:481:3154
Brad MarchandBOS2722:180:501:3666
Jan RuttaPIT3122:150:431:2757
Evgeni MalkinPIT2521:510:522:2280
Patrice BergeronBOS2921:220:441:2365
Brandon CarloBOS2919:380:411:24111
Brian DumoulinPIT3019:160:391:3948
Rickard RakellPIT2419:090:481:5060
Derek ForbortBOS2818:590:411:3544
David PastrnakBOS2718:310:411:2954
Jake DeBruskBOS2717:310:391:2385
Pavel ZachaBOS2316:440:441:1844
David KrejciBOS2616:330:381:0955
Jeff CarterPIT2716:250:361:0716
Connor CliftonBOS2315:250:401:4550
Matt GrzelcykBOS2815:000:321:0444
Jason ZuckerPIT2214:310:401:0930
Taylor HallBOS2214:260:391:4563
Charlie CoyleBOS2413:540:351:1346
Mark FriedmanPIT2313:000:341:2551
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2012:250:371:2631
Brock McGinnPIT2111:350:331:07110
Teddy BluegerPIT2211:350:321:0718
Trent FredericBOS1911:250:361:3532
Chad RuhwedelPIT1811:130:371:0615
Ty SmithPIT1510:270:421:4940
Nick FolignoBOS1410:020:431:2521
Tomas NosekBOS169:470:371:1804
Kasperi KapanenPIT157:210:290:5830
Craig SmithBOS95:320:371:1800
Danton HeinenPIT115:070:280:5530