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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 3, New York Rangers 5

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Lindgren, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:53Shot by Noesen, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 7:09Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 7:19Shot by Slavin, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 7:24Goal by Burns (Stastny, Slavin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kravtsov · CAR Burns, Stastny, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  9. P1 7:56Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov
  10. P1 11:10Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 11:19Shot by Schneider, saved by Kochetkov
  12. P1 11:42Shot by Gauthier, saved by Kochetkov
  13. P1 14:46Aho: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Vesey, Harpur, Chytil, Schneider · CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis

  14. P1 16:26Goal by Trouba (Kravtsov, Chytil)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Kravtsov, Kakko, Lafrenière · CAR Stepan, de Haan, Fast, Chatfield

  15. P1 16:42Goal by Necas (Svechnikov, Stastny)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Vesey, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière · CAR Stastny, de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov

  16. P1 18:53Shot by Kravtsov, saved by Kochetkov
  17. P1 19:46Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:22Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov
  21. P2 0:43Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov
  22. P2 1:39Trocheck: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kravtsov · CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis

  23. P2 2:14Burns: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · CAR Burns, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  24. P2 2:14Kreider: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · CAR Burns, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  25. P2 2:17Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  26. P2 2:25Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  27. P2 3:06Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  28. P2 3:36Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  29. P2 3:47Shot by Vesey, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 4:04Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 6:03Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov
  32. P2 7:31Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kochetkov
  33. P2 8:27Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov
  34. P2 8:56Shot by Kakko, saved by Kochetkov
  35. P2 9:29Chatfield: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Chytil, Miller, Kakko · CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis

  36. P2 12:12Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Gauthier, Miller, Schneider, Lafrenière · CAR Stastny, de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov

  37. P2 12:31Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  38. P2 12:59Shot by Vesey, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  39. P2 13:54Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  40. P2 15:02Shot by Panarin, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 15:59Burns: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · CAR Burns, Stastny, Teravainen, Slavin, Necas

  42. P2 16:45Goal by Zibanejad, unassisted5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Chatfield

  43. P2 17:14Goal by Chatfield (Teravainen)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Vesey, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière · CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:36Goal by Panarin (Lindgren, Fox)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kravtsov · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin

  47. P3 1:29Shot by Goodrow, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P3 2:42Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov
  49. P3 3:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kochetkov
  50. P3 4:03Shot by Martinook, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 5:00Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 5:37Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 7:11Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 8:42Shot by Harpur, saved by Kochetkov
  55. P3 10:27Goal by Miller (Zibanejad, Kakko)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Harpur, Miller, Kakko · CAR Burns, Stastny, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  56. P3 10:37Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 10:59Shot by Lindgren, saved by Kochetkov
  58. P3 11:23Shot by Kravtsov, saved by Kochetkov
  59. P3 11:27Svechnikov: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Miller, Kravtsov, Schneider · CAR Burns, Stastny, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  60. P3 12:23Shot by Fox, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  61. P3 13:11Panarin: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin · CAR Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce

  62. P3 13:43Shot by Vesey, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  63. P3 14:20Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  64. P3 15:04Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  65. P3 16:02Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kochetkov
  66. P3 17:15Martinook: Broken stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko · CAR Burns, Martinook, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  67. P3 17:56Shot by Panarin, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  68. P3 18:22Shot by Kreider, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  69. P3 18:57Goal by Chytil (Miller, Trouba)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Necas

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final