Fri, Jan 6, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 0, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 05 | 08 | 09 | 022 |
| CHI | 012 | 114 | 16 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:55CHIJake McCabeGWGAssists: Seth Jones, Max Domi · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 19:14CHITyler JohnsonENAssists: Jonathan Toews, Sam Lafferty · Wrist, 0.56 xG0–2
Penalties (3)
- P1 7:48ARIJ.J. Moser: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:25ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:17CHISam Lafferty: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bjugstad won the faceoff against Domi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Crouse – Carcone13:10
xG 0.68–0.39 (63%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Kassian – Boyd – Crouse2:28
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller2:20
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Fischer – Hayton10:14
xG 0.21–0.38 (35%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrown – Välimäki7:03
xG 0.25–0.05 (84%)attempts 10–3goals 0–1
- Brown – Moser3:25
xG 0.16–0.02 (88%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Välimäki – Moser4:18
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Kurashev – Reichel10:50
xG 0.84–0.25 (77%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Blackwell – Lafferty – Johnson7:19
xG 0.23–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Dickinson – Seney10:50
xG 0.40–0.23 (64%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Toews – Johnson – Raddysh11:58
xG 0.35–0.25 (59%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones18:13
xG 1.24–0.87 (59%)attempts 26–19goals 1–0
- Jones – Mitchell13:16
xG 0.53–0.28 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Johnson – Murphy15:39
xG 0.40–0.39 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).