Mon, Jan 9, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal
Seattle Kraken 4, Montréal Canadiens 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 319 | 016 | 16 | 441 |
| MTL | 06 | 09 | 06 | 021 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:54SEAEeli TolvanenGWGAssists: Vince Dunn, Yanni Gourde · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 10:01SEADaniel SprongPPAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Matty Beniers · Slap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 14:20SEAVince DunnAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Yanni Gourde · Slap, 0.04 xG3–0
- P3 18:57SEAMatty BeniersENAssists: Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.72 xG4–0
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:24MTLDavid Savard: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:37MTLChris Wideman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:10SEADaniel Sprong: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:38MTLJosh Anderson: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 9:29MTLJordan Harris: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:12MTLJoel Armia: Boarding2 min
- P3 12:12SEARyan Donato: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:12MTLJake Evans: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:12MTLChris Wideman: Misconduct10 min
- P3 12:54SEADaniel Sprong: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Sprong – Tanev7:07
xG 0.61–0.13 (82%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – Burakovsky – Beniers8:09
xG 0.24–0.09 (72%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Wennberg – McCann8:46
xG 0.30–0.16 (66%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen8:39
xG 0.53–0.46 (54%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- Larsson – Dunn13:21
xG 0.77–0.76 (50%)attempts 24–12goals 1–0
- Soucy – Borgen10:34
xG 0.17–0.24 (42%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak12:53
xG 0.61–0.74 (45%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestSuzuki – Dach – Caufield12:52
xG 1.04–0.55 (65%)attempts 18–17goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Armia – Evans7:42
xG 0.32–0.12 (73%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Drouin – Pezzetta5:44
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–2
- Anderson – Dvorak – Slafkovský9:34
xG 0.44–0.80 (35%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Edmundson13:15
xG 0.76–0.36 (68%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Kovacevic – Harris14:54
xG 0.55–0.37 (60%)attempts 13–17goals 0–1
- Wideman – Xhekaj9:06
xG 0.44–0.64 (40%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).