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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 10, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  5. P1 1:40Goal by Kucherov (Cernak, Hagel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · CBJ Nyquist, Roslovic, Laine, Bayreuther, Boqvist

  6. P1 1:52Shot by Cole, saved by Merzlikins
  7. P1 3:29Shot by Meyer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:37Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  9. P1 5:22Shot by Bellemare, saved by Merzlikins
  10. P1 6:59Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 7:19Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 7:23Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 7:40Bjork: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · CBJ Meyer, Marchenko, Berni, Sillinger, Bjork

  14. P1 9:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  15. P1 9:05Goal by Paul (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul · CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Bayreuther, Foudy

  16. P1 9:09Shot by Boqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 10:41Shot by Killorn, saved by Merzlikins
  18. P1 10:55Meyer: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Perbix · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Meyer, Berni

  19. P1 10:55Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Perbix · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Meyer, Berni

  20. P1 11:30Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins4v4
  21. P1 13:03Shot by Bogosian, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P1 13:34Shot by Bellemare, saved by Merzlikins
  23. P1 13:50Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  24. P1 15:26Shot by Nyquist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 15:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 15:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  27. P1 16:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  28. P1 18:22Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 19:51Shot by Colton, saved by Merzlikins
  30. P1 19:52Shot by Colton, saved by Merzlikins
  31. P1 19:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:01Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 1:18Shot by Laine, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 1:40Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni

  37. P2 2:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  38. P2 3:17Shot by Boqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 3:26Shot by Laine, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 3:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  41. P2 4:44Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P2 4:57Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  43. P2 5:55Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  44. P2 7:04Goal by Bayreuther (Roslovic, Laine)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · CBJ Nyquist, Roslovic, Laine, Bayreuther, Boqvist

  45. P2 10:25Goal by Namestnikov (Bellemare)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · CBJ Roslovic, Bayreuther, Boqvist, Marchenko, Sillinger

  46. P2 11:47Shot by Roslovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 12:44Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  48. P2 13:38Shot by Maroon, saved by Merzlikins
  49. P2 13:42Shot by Cole, saved by Merzlikins
  50. P2 14:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  51. P2 18:31Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 19:18Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  53. P2 19:41Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:38Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 1:11Berni: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Laine, Berni

  58. P3 2:04Shot by Foudy, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  59. P3 2:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  60. P3 2:55Shot by Colton, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  61. P3 3:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  62. P3 3:54Shot by Cirelli, saved by Merzlikins
  63. P3 3:56Shot by Maroon, saved by Merzlikins
  64. P3 4:35Goal by Berni (Laine, Boqvist)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · CBJ Laine, Peeke, Marchenko, Berni, Sillinger

  65. P3 4:52Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  66. P3 6:22Merzlikins: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni

  67. P3 6:33Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Stamkos)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · CBJ Nyquist, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Peeke

  68. P3 8:05Shot by Peeke, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 8:34Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 11:18Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  71. P3 11:22Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Bemstrom, Boqvist, Johnson

  72. P3 12:22Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Peeke, Foudy

  73. P3 13:48Shot by Maroon, saved by Merzlikins
  74. P3 13:48Goal by Colton (Maroon, Paul)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Paul, Cernak, Colton · CBJ Nyquist, Roslovic, Laine, Berni, Bjork

  75. P3 14:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  76. P3 14:18Shot by Killorn, saved by Merzlikins
  77. P3 15:01Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 15:13Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 15:27Shot by Berni, saved by Vasilevskiy
  80. P3 16:34Goal by Marchenko, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Marchenko, Berni, Sillinger

  81. P3 17:38Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 18:47Shot by Bjork, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final