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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 10, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Minnesota Wild 3, New York Rangers 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 75% of the time.

NYR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:30Boldy: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Harpur, Chytil, Schneider, Lafrenière · MIN Merrill, Hartman, Gaudreau, Addison, Boldy

  4. P1 3:12Shot by Chytil, saved by Fleury5v4
  5. P1 3:38Zuccarello: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Dumba, Kaprizov, Boldy

  6. P1 4:58Shot by Fox, saved by Fleury5v4
  7. P1 6:01Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:46Shot by Hartman, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  10. P1 6:48Chytil: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy

  11. P1 7:11Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  12. P1 8:48Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Duhaime, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 9:35Shot by Chytil, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 10:06Shot by Greenway, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 11:10Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 11:50Shot by Hartman, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 12:15Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 12:36Goal by Merrill (Eriksson Ek, Foligno)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Brodzinski, Harpur, Gauthier, Schneider · MIN Foligno, Merrill, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Addison

  20. P1 12:48Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 14:16Shot by Lindgren, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 14:17Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 14:57Shot by Kakko, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 15:08Shot by Hartman, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 15:19Shot by Kravtsov, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 17:43Goal by Kaprizov (Steel, Reaves)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko · MIN Reaves, Brodin, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel

  27. P1 18:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury
  28. P1 19:43Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:20Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 0:22Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 1:27Shot by Panarin, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 1:34Shot by Greenway, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 1:52Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 2:37Goal by Miller (Vesey)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Vesey, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière · MIN Merrill, Hartman, Gaudreau, Addison, Boldy

  37. P2 3:17Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 3:57Shot by Fox, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 5:11Shot by Trouba, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 6:38Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 7:01Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 8:13Shot by Goodrow, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 9:05Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 9:09Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 10:22Shot by Kakko, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 10:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 10:42Shot by Fox, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 10:54Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 11:35Shot by Brodin, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 11:44Shot by Fox, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 12:56Shot by Kravtsov, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 13:43Shot by Chytil, saved by Fleury
  53. P2 13:50Shot by Dewar, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 13:57Lafrenière: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Fox, Chytil, Schneider, Lafrenière · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar

  55. P2 13:57Duhaime: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Fox, Chytil, Schneider, Lafrenière · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar

  56. P2 15:00Shot by Schneider, saved by Fleury4v4
  57. P2 15:50Goal by Fox, unassisted4v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Miller · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Steel, Addison

  58. P2 17:02Shot by Middleton, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P2 18:34Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Fleury
  60. P2 19:30Shot by Duhaime, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P2 19:33Shot by Reaves, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P2 19:34Shot by Duhaime, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:59Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 3:58Shot by Fox, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 4:33Goal by Zuccarello (Steel, Brodin)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kravtsov · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel

  68. P3 6:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 6:50Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 7:39Shot by Kakko, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 8:24Shot by Duhaime, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 9:20Shot by Chytil, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 10:02Shot by Foligno, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 13:00Shot by Chytil, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 13:21Shot by Goodrow, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 13:35Goal by Chytil (Fox, Miller)+38 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Chytil, Miller · MIN Foligno, Dumba, Middleton, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  77. P3 18:45Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:44Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  81. OT 1:52Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury3v3
  82. OT 2:35Zuccarello: Too many men on the ice (2 min)3v3

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Vesey, Fox · MIN Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Addison

  83. OT 2:50Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury4v3
  84. OT 3:48Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury4v3
  85. OT 3:53Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury4v3
  86. OT 3:54Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury4v3
  87. OT 3:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Fleury4v3
  88. OT 4:58Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  89. OT 5:00Period endother
  90. SO Period start
  91. SO Goal by Kakko, unassistedother
  92. SO Goal by Zuccarello, unassistedother
  93. SO Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Fleuryother
  94. SO Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Shesterkinother
  95. SO Goal by Panarin, unassistedother
  96. SO Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Shesterkinother
  97. SO Period endother
  98. SO Final