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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 10, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Winnipeg Jets 5, Detroit Red Wings 7

Away

Winnipeg Jets

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Goal by Walman (Seider, Copp)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Rasmussen, Berggren, Seider · WPG DeMelo, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois

  3. P1 2:13Shot by Pionk, saved by Husso
  4. P1 2:48Shot by Seider, saved by Hellebuyck
  5. P1 4:05Shot by Dubois, saved by Husso
  6. P1 5:56Shot by Gagner, saved by Husso
  7. P1 6:33Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 7:11Shot by Berggren, saved by Hellebuyck
  9. P1 7:21Goal by Berggren (Copp, Seider)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Rasmussen, Berggren, Seider · WPG Dillon, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois, Pionk

  10. P1 9:00Shot by Wheeler, saved by Husso
  11. P1 9:41Shot by Walman, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 12:27Shot by Maatta, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 13:23Kuhlman: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · WPG Scheifele, Schmidt, Samberg, Barron, Kuhlman

  14. P1 15:27Goal by Sundqvist (Seider, Raymond)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, Walman, Berggren, Seider, Raymond · WPG Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Jonsson-Fjallby, Kuhlman

  15. P1 17:17Goal by Pionk (Scheifele, Perfetti)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Suter · WPG Wheeler, Dillon, Scheifele, Pionk, Perfetti

  16. P1 17:36Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Husso
  17. P1 19:23Shot by Perfetti, saved by Husso
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:20Shot by Barron, saved by Husso
  21. P2 0:26Shot by Barron, saved by Husso
  22. P2 0:32Shot by Morrissey, saved by Husso
  23. P2 2:57Goal by Kubalik (Sundqvist)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Sundqvist, Kubalik, Suter, Raymond · WPG Gagner, Dillon, Jonsson-Fjallby, Pionk, Gustafsson

  24. P2 3:10Shot by Lowry, saved by Husso
  25. P2 3:43Shot by Veleno, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P2 5:52Shot by Dubois, saved by Husso
  27. P2 7:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Husso
  28. P2 8:18Shot by Lowry, saved by Husso
  29. P2 8:20Shot by Ehlers, saved by Husso
  30. P2 9:03Shot by Schmidt, saved by Husso
  31. P2 9:46Goal by Gagner (Gustafsson, Jonsson-Fjallby)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · WPG Gagner, Morrissey, Jonsson-Fjallby, Pionk, Gustafsson

  32. P2 11:36Shot by Kuhlman, saved by Husso
  33. P2 11:49Shot by Perfetti, saved by Husso
  34. P2 12:08Goal by Schmidt (Perfetti, Wheeler)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Maatta, Sundqvist, Kubalik, Suter · WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Schmidt, Morrissey, Perfetti

  35. P2 12:55Shot by Connor, saved by Husso
  36. P2 13:39Shot by Larkin, saved by Hellebuyck
  37. P2 13:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Hellebuyck
  38. P2 15:36Shot by Walman, saved by Hellebuyck
  39. P2 16:05Gustafsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, Fabbri, Hronek, Lindstrom, Veleno · WPG Gagner, Dillon, Jonsson-Fjallby, Pionk, Gustafsson

  40. P2 16:15Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  41. P2 16:35Shot by Seider, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  42. P2 16:37Dillon: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider · WPG Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Barron

  43. P2 17:31Shot by Seider, saved by Hellebuyck5v3
  44. P2 17:38Goal by Larkin (Seider, Raymond)5v3+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Samberg

  45. P2 17:48Copp: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kubalik, Copp, Fabbri, Walman, Berggren · WPG Schmidt, Pionk, Barron, Kuhlman

  46. P2 18:29Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Husso4v4
  47. P2 19:28Shot by Scheifele, saved by Husso4v5
  48. P2 19:48Shot by Dubois, saved by Husso
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:33Goal by Ehlers (Connor, Pionk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Rasmussen, Berggren, Seider · WPG Dillon, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois, Pionk

  52. P3 1:52Goal by Fabbri (Lindstrom, Veleno)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Fabbri, Hronek, Lindstrom, Veleno · WPG Wheeler, Lowry, Schmidt, Morrissey, Barron

  53. P3 2:38Shot by Dubois, saved by Husso
  54. P3 3:09Shot by Ehlers, saved by Husso
  55. P3 3:51Shot by Raymond, saved by Hellebuyck
  56. P3 8:12Seider: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · WPG Wheeler, Dillon, Scheifele, Schmidt, Perfetti

  57. P3 8:16Shot by Maatta, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  58. P3 8:29Shot by Copp, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  59. P3 10:50Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hellebuyck
  60. P3 12:26Shot by Morrissey, saved by Husso
  61. P3 13:11Shot by Ehlers, saved by Husso
  62. P3 13:31Shot by Morrissey, saved by Husso
  63. P3 14:26Fabbri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Fabbri, Hronek, Lindstrom, Veleno · WPG Lowry, Schmidt, Pionk, Barron, Kuhlman

  64. P3 14:55Goal by Scheifele (Dubois, Ehlers)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois

  65. P3 17:10Shot by Barron, saved by Husso
  66. P3 17:24Shot by Barron, saved by Husso
  67. P3 17:38Shot by Morrissey, saved by Husso5v6
  68. P3 17:59Shot by Scheifele, saved by Husso5v6
  69. P3 18:10Shot by Scheifele, saved by Husso5v6
  70. P3 18:27Shot by Ehlers, saved by Husso5v6
  71. P3 18:40Goal by Raymond (Larkin)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois

  72. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  73. P3 0:00Final