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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vancouver Canucks 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Vancouver Canucks

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:42Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:11Shot by Garland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:12Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:14Goal by Garland (Horvat, Schenn)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli · VAN Schenn, Miller, Horvat, Garland, Hughes

  7. P1 4:49Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:37Shot by Stillman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 6:08Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:48Shot by Sergachev, saved by Delia
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia
  12. P1 9:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Delia
  13. P1 9:56Bellemare: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · VAN Schenn, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  14. P1 9:56Schenn: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · VAN Schenn, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  15. P1 9:56Bellemare: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · VAN Schenn, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  16. P1 9:56Pederson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · VAN Schenn, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  17. P1 9:56Bellemare: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · VAN Schenn, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  18. P1 10:31Shot by Cole, saved by Delia
  19. P1 11:14Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 11:25Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 12:39Bear: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · VAN Bear, Pettersson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  22. P1 14:19Shot by Colton, saved by Delia5v4
  23. P1 14:29Shot by Colton, saved by Delia5v4
  24. P1 14:37Goal by Perry (Sergachev, Colton)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · VAN Myers, Lazar, Dermott, Mikheyev

  25. P1 15:23Shot by Point, saved by Delia
  26. P1 15:34Shot by Boeser, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 15:38Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 15:56Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 17:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Delia
  30. P1 17:20Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P1 17:42Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P1 18:32Shot by Hagel, saved by Delia
  33. P1 19:24Shot by Cernak, saved by Delia
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:24Shot by Schenn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 0:49Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 0:55Shot by Paul, saved by Delia
  39. P2 1:09Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 1:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Delia
  41. P2 1:52Shot by Perbix, saved by Delia
  42. P2 2:01Shot by Studnicka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 2:03Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 2:30Goal by Killorn (Perbix, Hagel)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · VAN Myers, Dermott, Boeser, Pettersson, Kuzmenko

  45. P2 3:08Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 4:44Perry: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Point · VAN Myers, Pederson, Studnicka, Hughes, Mikheyev

  47. P2 5:26Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  48. P2 5:44Goal by Miller (Hughes, Delia)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Paul, Sergachev · VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes

  49. P2 8:09Shot by Garland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 8:33Shot by Paul, saved by Delia
  51. P2 12:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia
  52. P2 15:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 15:40Shot by Kucherov, saved by Delia
  54. P2 15:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia
  55. P2 15:44Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Point)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · VAN Schenn, Horvat, Joshua, Lockwood, Hughes

  56. P2 16:14Shot by Colton, saved by Delia
  57. P2 19:29Goal by Hagel (Killorn, Perbix)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · VAN Miller, Horvat, Bear, Garland, Hughes

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:21Paul: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Paul, Colton · VAN Miller, Horvat, Bear, Garland, Hughes

  61. P3 1:27Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  62. P3 1:39Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 2:39Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  64. P3 3:48Shot by Bogosian, saved by Delia
  65. P3 4:26Schenn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · VAN Schenn, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Mikheyev

  66. P3 4:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Delia5v4
  67. P3 5:01Myers: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · VAN Myers, Horvat, Stillman, Pettersson

  68. P3 5:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia5v3
  69. P3 5:30Goal by Stamkos (Point, Kucherov)5v3+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · VAN Miller, Bear, Stillman

  70. P3 5:50Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia5v4
  71. P3 6:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Delia5v4
  72. P3 6:43Shot by Point, saved by Delia5v4
  73. P3 8:25Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 12:17Shot by Bogosian, saved by Delia
  75. P3 12:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Delia
  76. P3 12:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Delia
  77. P3 12:59Shot by Point, saved by Delia
  78. P3 13:20Shot by Joshua, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 13:23Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  80. P3 14:24Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  81. P3 14:40Goal by Hughes (Pettersson, Kuzmenko)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · VAN Myers, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko

  82. P3 14:56Shot by Hagel, saved by Delia
  83. P3 16:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Delia
  84. P3 17:52Goal by Pettersson (Hughes, Miller)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Cernak · VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Garland, Pettersson, Hughes

  85. P3 17:57Shot by Lockwood, saved by Vasilevskiy
  86. P3 17:57Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli · VAN Myers, Lazar, Joshua, Bear, Lockwood

  87. P3 18:36Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy4v6
  88. P3 18:40Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v6
  89. P3 19:19Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v6
  90. P3 19:37Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy4v6
  91. P3 19:58Shot by Lazar, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  92. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  93. P3 0:00Final