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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Minnesota Wild 3, New York Islanders 1

Away

Minnesota Wild

3

Final

Home

New York Islanders

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 87% of the time.

NYI winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Cizikas, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 1:30Middleton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Nelson, Mayfield, Fasching, Romanov · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar

  4. P1 2:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Sorokin5v4
  5. P1 2:37Shot by Bailey, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  6. P1 3:20Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin5v4
  7. P1 7:38Shot by Pageau, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 10:55Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 11:47Shot by Greenway, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 13:35Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 16:49Goal by Mayfield (Martin, Romanov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Romanov, Holmstrom · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  12. P1 16:53Shot by Brodin, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 17:38Mayfield: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Mayfield, Fasching, Barzal, Romanov · MIN Reaves, Merrill, Kaprizov, Steel, Addison

  14. P1 19:36Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Sorokin4v5
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:30Shot by Martin, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P2 1:31Shot by Middleton, saved by Sorokin
  19. P2 1:53Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Sorokin
  20. P2 2:21Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin
  21. P2 2:46Shot by Hartman, saved by Sorokin
  22. P2 3:03Nelson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov, Holmstrom · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Gaudreau, Boldy

  23. P2 4:23Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Sorokin4v5
  24. P2 5:14Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P2 5:30Shot by Dumba, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 5:40Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Barzal, Wotherspoon, Dobson, Holmstrom · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Steel

  27. P2 6:14Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin4v5
  28. P2 6:52Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Sorokin4v5
  29. P2 7:17Steel: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, Aho · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Gaudreau, Steel

  30. P2 8:28Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  31. P2 8:30Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  32. P2 10:10Shot by Romanov, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 10:34Shot by Barzal, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 10:51Romanov: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Romanov · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Gaudreau, Middleton, Kaprizov

  35. P2 11:50Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  36. P2 12:01Zuccarello: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pulock, Dobson · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Boldy

  37. P2 12:01Clutterbuck: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pulock, Dobson · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Boldy

  38. P2 12:32Shot by Hartman, saved by Sorokin4v5
  39. P2 12:44Shot by Hartman, saved by Sorokin4v5
  40. P2 13:09Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 13:56Shot by Duhaime, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 14:18Shot by Greenway, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 14:19Shot by Merrill, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 14:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 15:25Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 15:26Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 16:52Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 17:48Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P2 19:40Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:33Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 0:45Shot by Pageau, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 1:12Shot by Middleton, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 3:02Shot by Brodin, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 5:01Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 5:31Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 6:33Mayfield: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Fasching, Aho · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Middleton, Greenway, Steel

  59. P3 7:26Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Sorokin4v5
  60. P3 8:48Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 10:00Brodin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Wotherspoon, Holmstrom · MIN Reaves, Brodin, Dumba, Duhaime, Dewar

  62. P3 10:07Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  63. P3 10:18Shot by Barzal, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  64. P3 10:55Goal by Gaudreau (Eriksson Ek)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson · MIN Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Middleton, Eriksson Ek

  65. P3 12:28Goal by Steel (Zuccarello, Kaprizov)+36 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Aho · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel

  66. P3 14:54Shot by Duhaime, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 16:05Shot by Greenway, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 16:18Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 16:43Shot by Foligno, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 18:48Goal by Kaprizov (Zuccarello, Merrill)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel

  71. P3 19:35Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Gustavsson
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final