Fri, Jan 13, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Edmonton Oilers 7, San Jose Sharks 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 212 | 315 | 214 | 741 |
| SJS | 09 | 08 | 19 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:59EDMConnor McDavidPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Tyson Barrie · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 18:14EDMKlim KostinGWGAssists: Zach Hyman, Vincent Desharnais · Deflected, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 8:22EDMConnor McDavidPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–0
- P2 13:07EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsSHAssists: Mattias Janmark · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–0
- P2 17:55EDMLeon DraisaitlAssists: Connor McDavid · Snap, 0.15 xG5–0
- P3 12:14EDMJesse PuljujarviAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.13 xG6–0
- P3 12:46EDMRyan McLeodAssists: Dylan Holloway, Warren Foegele · Snap, 0.18 xG7–0
- P3 15:02SJSOskar LindblomAssists: Matt Benning, Jonah Gadjovich · Tip-in, 0.09 xG7–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:22EDMDylan Holloway: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 9:52SJSNick Cicek: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 8:14SJSNick Cicek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:14EDMDarnell Nurse: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:58SJSSteven Lorentz: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:31EDMDylan Holloway: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:34EDMDylan Holloway: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:44SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – Draisaitl – McDavid10:11
xG 1.02–0.23 (82%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Foegele – McLeod – Holloway2:22
xG 0.47–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Janmark – Kostin5:52
xG 0.33–0.04 (90%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Foegele – Puljujarvi – McLeod6:34
xG 0.04–0.24 (13%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBouchard – Broberg9:52
xG 0.95–0.18 (84%)attempts 13–6goals 2–0
- Kulak – Desharnais4:43
xG 0.55–0.30 (64%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Desharnais – Broberg2:18
xG 0.22–0.15 (59%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Eyssimont10:34
xG 0.55–0.44 (55%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich6:52
xG 0.24–0.36 (40%)attempts 7–6goals 1–2
- Bonino – Labanc – Sturm8:46
xG 0.21–0.43 (32%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov8:42
xG 0.22–0.60 (27%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Benning – Ferraro10:33
xG 0.32–0.27 (54%)attempts 9–6goals 1–1
- Karlsson – Benning2:04
xG 0.05–0.02 (69%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Megna16:51
xG 0.84–0.84 (50%)attempts 16–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).