Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 5, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Saros
  4. P1 1:01Shot by Jost, saved by Saros
  5. P1 3:37Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros
  6. P1 4:26Shot by McKeown, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 5:55Shot by Glass, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 6:07Shot by McDonagh, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 7:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Saros
  10. P1 8:07Shot by Jost, saved by Saros
  11. P1 8:08Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros
  12. P1 8:10McKeown: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, McKeown, Lauzon · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  13. P1 8:36Shot by Cozens, saved by Saros4v5
  14. P1 9:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros4v5
  15. P1 10:55Shot by Power, saved by Saros
  16. P1 11:37Goal by Skinner (Thompson, Dahlin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, Parssinen · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  17. P1 13:00Shot by Jost, saved by Saros
  18. P1 13:05Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Saros
  19. P1 14:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  20. P1 14:42Lyubushkin: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Forsberg, McKeown, Lauzon, Parssinen · BUF Tuch, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Peterka

  21. P1 15:23Goal by Josi (Johansen, Parssinen)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Novak, Parssinen · BUF Jost, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens

  22. P1 15:52Smith: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Glass, Smith · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  23. P1 18:50Shot by Parssinen, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:23Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
  27. P2 1:23Shot by Johansen, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 1:50Shot by Johansen, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 1:58Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 2:05Goal by Cozens (Peterka, Quinn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, Fabbro · BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  31. P2 3:50Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros
  32. P2 6:38Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Saros
  33. P2 7:30Shot by Novak, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 7:31Shot by Jeannot, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 8:19Forsberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, Parssinen · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  36. P2 8:58Goal by Olofsson (Power, Mittelstadt)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Jeannot · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  37. P2 9:40Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Saros
  38. P2 9:56Shot by Trenin, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 10:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  40. P2 10:20Shot by Power, saved by Saros
  41. P2 11:21Shot by Quinn, saved by Saros
  42. P2 12:37Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 12:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 12:57Shot by Granlund, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 13:25Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 13:27Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 15:10Goal by Lauzon (Glass, Sissons)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, McKeown, Lauzon, Glass, Smith · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  48. P2 15:50Goal by Johansen (Fabbro, Ekholm)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, Fabbro · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  49. P2 16:06Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P2 16:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 16:45Lyubushkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, Parssinen · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Jost, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  52. P2 17:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  53. P2 17:44Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  54. P2 19:47Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Jeannot · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:44Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros4v5
  58. P3 1:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Saros4v5
  59. P3 2:41Shot by Parssinen, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 4:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  61. P3 4:25Shot by Power, saved by Saros
  62. P3 5:57Jost: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McKeown, Novak, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot · BUF Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  63. P3 6:08Shot by Novak, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  64. P3 6:28Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  65. P3 6:43Goal by Okposo (Lyubushkin, Samuelsson)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Novak, Parssinen · BUF Okposo, Dahlin, Lyubushkin, Cozens

  66. P3 7:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  67. P3 7:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros5v4
  68. P3 8:29Shot by Jeannot, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 8:36Shot by Jeannot, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 9:41Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros
  71. P3 9:50Shot by Granlund, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 13:27Shot by Power, saved by Saros
  73. P3 14:33Shot by Ekholm, saved by Luukkonen
  74. P3 14:53Shot by Fabbro, saved by Luukkonen
  75. P3 14:59Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen
  76. P3 16:06Shot by McDonagh, saved by Luukkonen
  77. P3 16:45Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros
  78. P3 16:49Goal by Quinn, unassisted+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Granlund, Niederreiter, Parssinen · BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  79. P3 17:56Shot by Novak, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  80. P3 18:14Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  81. P3 18:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  82. P3 18:45Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  83. P3 19:00Shot by Josi, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  84. P3 19:01Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  85. P3 19:11Shot by Johansen, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  86. P3 19:15Shot by Johansen, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final