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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Seattle Kraken 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 87% of the time.

SEA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Stamkos, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 3:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Perry, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 3:12Shot by Geekie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:45Shot by Maroon, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 5:06Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer
  10. P1 5:37Shot by Eberle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:40Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 8:52Shot by Dunn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:00Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 10:35Larsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Sprong, Borgen, Tanev, Geekie · TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Fleury, Sergachev

  15. P1 10:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Grubauer4v5
  16. P1 11:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Grubauer4v5
  17. P1 11:59Shot by Perry, saved by Grubauer4v5
  18. P1 14:01Shot by Colton, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 14:41Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 14:43Sergachev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schultz, Oleksiak, Bjorkstrand, Tanev, Geekie · TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Fleury, Sergachev

  21. P1 16:32Shot by Dunn, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  22. P1 18:43Goal by Bellemare (Cole, Perry)+18 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schultz, Oleksiak, Wennberg, McCann, Donato · TBL Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Cernak

  23. P1 18:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Grubauer
  24. P1 19:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Grubauer
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:40Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 3:52Shot by Borgen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 7:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 7:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 9:02Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 9:43Shot by Perry, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 10:39Shot by Donato, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 13:10Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 13:13Bogosian: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schultz, Oleksiak, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen · TBL Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Paul, Colton

  36. P2 13:43Shot by Beniers, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 13:51Shot by Beniers, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  38. P2 15:27Shot by Fleury, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 15:32Bjorkstrand: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, McCann, Dunn · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Fleury

  40. P2 15:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer4v5
  41. P2 17:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Grubauer4v5
  42. P2 17:32Shot by Perry, saved by Grubauer4v5
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:44Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 2:38Shot by Bogosian, saved by Grubauer
  47. P3 2:46Killorn: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Schultz, Larsson, Burakovsky, Beniers · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Cirelli

  48. P3 4:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Grubauer5v4
  49. P3 6:44Goal by Paul, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, Burakovsky, Dunn, Beniers · TBL Cole, Maroon, Paul, Cernak, Colton

  50. P3 7:18Shot by Perry, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 7:40Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 8:31Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 9:41Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 10:37Shot by McCann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 10:44Goal by Dunn (Larsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Dunn, Tolvanen · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli

  56. P3 11:38Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  57. P3 14:07Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 15:56Shot by Gourde, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 16:55Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 17:45Shot by Donato, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 18:21Goal by Hagel (Killorn, Cernak)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Schultz, Burakovsky, McCann, Sprong, Beniers · TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  62. P3 19:16Goal by Hedman (Hagel, Stamkos)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Burakovsky, McCann, Dunn, Sprong, Beniers · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sergachev, Hagel

  63. P3 19:42Shot by Borgen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 19:54Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final