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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 1, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:50Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:48Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Tanev, saved by Saros
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Carrier, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 3:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by Markstrom
  7. P1 5:28Shot by Parssinen, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 5:52Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  9. P1 5:55Shot by Dube, saved by Saros
  10. P1 6:28Shot by Johansen, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 8:26Goal by Josi (McDonagh, Duchene)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, Glass · CGY Lucic, Backlund, Tanev, Huberdeau, Zadorov

  12. P1 10:48Shot by Trenin, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 11:40Shot by Forsberg, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 12:12Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  15. P1 12:14Parssinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Carrier, Fabbro, Parssinen, Smith · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Weegar, Mangiapane

  16. P1 13:46Shot by Hanifin, saved by Saros4v5
  17. P1 14:24Goal by Parssinen (Jeannot, Sissons)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot, Parssinen · CGY Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Dube, Ruzicka

  18. P1 15:20Shot by Weegar, saved by Saros
  19. P1 16:19Shot by Granlund, saved by Markstrom
  20. P1 16:50Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  21. P1 18:29Shot by Novak, saved by Markstrom
  22. P1 18:35Shot by Carrier, saved by Markstrom
  23. P1 19:17Shot by Duehr, saved by Saros
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:21Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros
  27. P2 0:30Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros
  28. P2 0:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Markstrom
  29. P2 1:56Shot by Lucic, saved by Saros
  30. P2 2:39Shot by Josi, saved by Markstrom
  31. P2 3:20Shot by Trenin, saved by Markstrom
  32. P2 4:34Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  33. P2 5:22Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros
  34. P2 6:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros
  35. P2 8:25Shot by Dube, saved by Saros
  36. P2 8:45Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  37. P2 9:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Markstrom
  38. P2 10:11Shot by Josi, saved by Markstrom
  39. P2 10:19Shot by Glass, saved by Markstrom
  40. P2 10:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Markstrom
  41. P2 11:24Shot by Parssinen, saved by Markstrom
  42. P2 12:18Shot by Stone, saved by Saros
  43. P2 12:55Coleman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Novak, Trenin, Jeannot · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Weegar, Mangiapane

  44. P2 13:21Shot by Forsberg, saved by Markstrom5v4
  45. P2 15:04Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 18:07Goal by Zadorov (Backlund, Mangiapane)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg · CGY Backlund, Stone, Coleman, Zadorov, Mangiapane

  47. P2 19:01Shot by Granlund, saved by Markstrom
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Markstrom
  51. P3 1:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Markstrom
  52. P3 2:07Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen, Smith · CGY Lucic, Stone, Kadri, Huberdeau, Zadorov

  53. P3 2:25Jeannot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Jeannot · CGY Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Andersson

  54. P3 2:42Andersson: High sticking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon · CGY Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Andersson

  55. P3 2:54Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros3v4
  56. P3 3:21Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros3v4
  57. P3 3:21Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Saros3v4
  58. P3 3:57Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros3v4
  59. P3 4:30Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros5v4
  60. P3 5:02Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros
  61. P3 5:52Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  62. P3 7:27Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  63. P3 7:35Shot by Josi, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 8:17Fabbro: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Novak, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · CGY Toffoli, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube

  65. P3 8:35Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros4v5
  66. P3 9:43Shot by Dube, saved by Saros4v5
  67. P3 10:21Shot by Weegar, saved by Saros
  68. P3 12:27Stone: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Johansen, Granlund, Niederreiter, Lauzon, Fabbro · CGY Lucic, Stone, Kadri, Huberdeau, Zadorov

  69. P3 13:24Shot by Lewis, saved by Saros5v4
  70. P3 13:53Shot by Glass, saved by Markstrom5v4
  71. P3 14:25Shot by Backlund, saved by Saros5v4
  72. P3 14:57Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros
  73. P3 15:56Shot by Lewis, saved by Saros
  74. P3 16:15Shot by Lewis, saved by Saros
  75. P3 17:04Shot by Zadorov, saved by Saros
  76. P3 18:19Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  77. P3 18:37Shot by Kadri, saved by Saros5v6
  78. P3 18:51Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros5v6
  79. P3 19:30Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros5v6
  80. P3 19:42Shot by Toffoli, saved by Saros5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  82. P3 0:00Final