Thu, Jan 19, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 3, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 113 | 18 | 16 | 327 |
| NYR | 011 | 011 | 110 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:19BOSPavel ZachaAssists: David Krejci · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 4:42BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Craig Smith · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 0:28BOSConnor CliftonAssists: Brad Marchand, David Krejci · Snap, 0.18 xG3–0
- P3 15:37NYRBen HarpurAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Braden Schneider · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:08NYRChris Kreider: Holding2 min
- P1 14:27NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:12BOSCraig Smith: Interference2 min
- P2 18:17BOSConnor Clifton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:48NYRJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:19NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:10BOSPatrice Bergeron: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith7:38
xG 0.52–0.10 (84%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha8:39
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
- Coyle – Hall – Frederic7:30
xG 0.32–0.46 (41%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Greer6:30
xG 0.22–0.55 (28%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo4:53
xG 0.38–0.02 (95%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Clifton2:49
xG 0.16–0.04 (82%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Clifton7:13
xG 0.40–0.38 (51%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Vesey – Panarin7:33
xG 0.59–0.15 (80%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Vesey – Brodzinski – Leschyshyn3:19
xG 0.45–0.20 (69%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Chytil – Lafrenière10:44
xG 0.38–0.18 (67%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Kravtsov5:16
xG 0.39–0.22 (65%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHarpur – Schneider10:30
xG 0.88–0.46 (65%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren13:10
xG 0.60–0.37 (62%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
- Trouba – Miller15:32
xG 0.48–0.75 (39%)attempts 21–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).