Thu, Jan 19, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bailey–Nelson–Beauvillier | Parise–Pageau–Holmstrom | Clutterbuck–Lee–Barzal | Martin–Cizikas–Johnston | Martin–Lee–Barzal | Parise–Martin–Pageau | Cizikas–Lee–Barzal | Parise–Cizikas–Pageau | Aho–Dobson | Mayfield–Romanov | Pulock–Cholowski | Pulock–Aho | Mayfield–Dobson | Pulock–Romanov | Mayfield–Pulock | Mayfield–Cholowski | Pulock–Dobson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 0:430.27–0.00 | 2:400.24–0.17 | 1:400.11–0.13 | 2:100.21–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 7:020.58–0.88 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:040.07–0.17 | 1:350.35–0.00 | 1:170.13–0.00 | 0:310.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | 3:000.30–0.10 | 2:200.11–0.00 | 1:170.27–0.00 | 0:520.05–0.00 | 4:240.22–0.24 | 3:360.27–0.00 | 0:370.19–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | 1:160.04–0.03 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 1:360.06–0.17 | 1:120.04–0.13 | 0:550.06–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.16 | 1:540.00–0.15 | 1:270.13–0.01 | 1:440.06–0.15 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 0:510.04–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.17 | |||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 3:360.20–0.25 | 1:050.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:010.01–0.05 | 0:440.14–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.14 | 0:510.33–0.00 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Skinner–Krebs | |||||||||||||||||
| Okposo–Krebs–Peterka | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:110.13–0.21 | 4:090.00–0.11 | 0:520.06–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:340.03–0.05 | 1:180.13–0.15 | 1:230.05–0.00 | 6:200.14–0.15 | 3:050.20–0.11 | 2:500.00–0.09 | 2:040.00–0.05 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 0:340.13–0.00 | 1:260.13–0.00 | 1:000.24–0.00 | ||
| Jokiharju–Power | 1:100.23–0.05 | 2:150.24–0.06 | 3:360.00–0.30 | 1:080.02–0.11 | 0:520.18–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 3:490.00–0.14 | 4:100.47–0.61 | 1:330.02–0.07 | 1:090.00–0.14 | 0:590.36–0.17 | 1:290.23–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.17 | 0:310.06–0.00 | |||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 3:000.45–0.01 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 2:330.30–0.13 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 1:580.12–0.00 | 1:540.25–0.10 | 1:350.30–0.13 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:300.03–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 0:510.24–0.07 | ||||||
| Dahlin–Lyubushkin | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 0:380.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Power | 0:410.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 33 | 25:12 | 0:46 | 2:10 | 9 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 30 | 23:31 | 0:47 | 2:05 | 7 | 5 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 28 | 23:25 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 1 | 10 |
 Sebastian AhoNYI | 28 | 22:42 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 26 | 21:37 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 3 | 7 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 28 | 21:34 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 21:28 | 0:52 | 2:39 | 5 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 27 | 19:40 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 5 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 19:27 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 8 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 18:53 | 0:54 | 1:30 | 8 | 2 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 21 | 18:46 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 2 | 7 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 18:39 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 8 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 32 | 17:59 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 4 | 12 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 26 | 17:54 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 3 | 6 |
 Zach PariseNYI | 28 | 17:34 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 4 | 8 |
 Anthony BeauvillierNYI | 23 | 17:03 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 3 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 24 | 16:32 | 0:41 | 1:45 | 2 | 9 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 15:55 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 2 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 2:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 15:22 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 19 | 15:09 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 23 | 15:02 | 0:39 | 2:00 | 1 | 4 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 22 | 14:07 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 13:57 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 19 | 13:20 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 3 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 12:55 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 6 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 12:48 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Dennis CholowskiNYI | 17 | 11:35 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 3 | 0 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 18 | 10:49 | 0:36 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 16 | 10:21 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 3 | 4 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 16 | 8:49 | 0:33 | 0:49 | 1 | 4 |
 Ross JohnstonNYI | 9 | 5:47 | 0:39 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |