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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise

Minnesota Wild 3, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 55% of the time.

FLA winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 2:28Greenway: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Cousins, Tierney, Mahura, Smith · MIN Goligoski, Reaves, Brodin, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  4. P1 3:12Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lyon5v4
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  6. P1 5:54Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lyon
  7. P1 6:11Shot by Brodin, saved by Lyon
  8. P1 6:38Shot by Shaw, saved by Lyon
  9. P1 6:50Shot by Merrill, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 11:44Shot by Middleton, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 12:03Shot by Lundell, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 13:46Shot by Tierney, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 15:28Shot by Boldy, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 15:39Shot by Boldy, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 18:19Shot by Denisenko, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 19:06Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 19:47Goal by Lundell (Barkov, Reinhart)+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling, Lundell · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P2 1:40Goal by Luostarinen, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Cousins, Montour, Luostarinen, Denisenko · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Greenway, Steel, Addison

  22. P2 3:30Shot by Tierney, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P2 6:54Shot by Lomberg, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P2 7:25Shot by Dewar, saved by Lyon
  25. P2 7:52Verhaeghe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk · MIN Spurgeon, Hartman, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy

  26. P2 8:40Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon4v5
  27. P2 8:56Goal by Boldy (Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Staal, Barkov, Forsling, Lundell · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy

  28. P2 9:41Shot by Hartman, saved by Lyon
  29. P2 10:04Shot by Smith, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 10:45Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 11:11Shot by Montour, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 12:02Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 12:28Shot by Hartman, saved by Lyon
  34. P2 14:04Shot by Reaves, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 14:25Shot by Staal, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 14:43Shot by Montour, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 15:20Shot by Greenway, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 15:27Shot by Greenway, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 17:00Shot by Cousins, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 17:20Shot by Staal, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 18:07Hartman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Barkov, Montour, Lomberg, Smith · MIN Goligoski, Brodin, Hartman, Shaw, Boldy

  42. P2 18:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  43. P2 19:00Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  44. P2 19:32Goal by Verhaeghe (Montour, Tkachuk)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · MIN Goligoski, Middleton, Shaw, Dewar

  45. P2 19:36Cousins: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Luostarinen, Denisenko · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Kaprizov, Steel

  46. P2 19:36Hartman: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Luostarinen, Denisenko · MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Hartman, Kaprizov, Steel

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Boldy, saved by Lyon
  51. P3 3:07Mahura: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Barkov, Reinhart, Mahura, Lundell · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Shaw, Dewar

  52. P3 3:53Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon4v5
  53. P3 4:27Shot by Addison, saved by Lyon4v5
  54. P3 4:35Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Lyon4v5
  55. P3 4:37Goal by Eriksson Ek (Kaprizov, Addison)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Barkov, Montour, Lundell · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy

  56. P3 6:03Montour: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Mahura, Smith · MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Middleton, Shaw, Dewar

  57. P3 6:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 7:46Shot by Cousins, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 7:47Shot by Denisenko, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 7:51Goal by Forsling (Denisenko, Cousins)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Cousins, Tierney, Forsling, Denisenko · MIN Merrill, Hartman, Gaudreau, Duhaime, Addison

  61. P3 8:35Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lyon
  62. P3 10:40Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 12:56Shot by Duhaime, saved by Lyon
  64. P3 14:33Shot by Lundell, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 17:01Shot by Barkov, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 17:55Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon5v6
  67. P3 17:59Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon5v6
  68. P3 18:01Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lyon5v6
  69. P3 18:34Goal by Spurgeon (Boldy, Kaprizov)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy

  70. P3 19:21Goal by Reinhart (Lundell, Staal)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Staal, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Lundell · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy

  71. P3 19:55Shot by Hartman, saved by Lyon
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final