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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Florida Panthers 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 7 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.

PIT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Letang, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:20Shot by Carter, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 1:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 2:46Shot by Poehling, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 3:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Lyon
  7. P1 4:39Shot by Luostarinen, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 4:51Shot by Heinen, saved by Lyon
  9. P1 6:31Shot by Lundell, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 6:37Shot by Forsling, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 6:42Goal by Reinhart (Ekblad, Barkov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Petry, Zucker, Rakell · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  12. P1 7:01Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 7:27Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 7:43Pettersson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Petry, Pettersson, Heinen, Poehling, O'Connor · FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, White, Tkachuk, Mahura

  15. P1 7:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by DeSmith4v5
  16. P1 8:08Goal by Tkachuk (Montour, Barkov)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Dumoulin, Rust, Ruhwedel · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk

  17. P1 9:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 9:58Shot by Letang, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 10:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 10:56Goal by Rakell (Malkin, Letang)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  21. P1 11:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 11:33Shot by Mahura, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 11:54Shot by Poehling, saved by Lyon
  24. P1 11:56Goal by Heinen (Poehling, O'Connor)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Ruhwedel, Heinen, Joseph, Poehling, O'Connor · FLA Gudas, Cousins, Tierney, Mahura, Denisenko

  25. P1 12:52Shot by Blueger, saved by Lyon
  26. P1 13:08Shot by Rakell, saved by Lyon
  27. P1 13:49Shot by Zucker, saved by Lyon
  28. P1 14:45Pettersson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Petry, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  29. P1 14:51Shot by Ekblad, saved by DeSmith4v5
  30. P1 15:01Shot by Barkov, saved by DeSmith4v5
  31. P1 16:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by DeSmith4v5
  32. P1 18:14Goal by Letang (Dumoulin, Heinen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Heinen · FLA Staal, Tierney, Lomberg, Mahura, Denisenko

  33. P1 18:23Shot by Ekblad, saved by DeSmith
  34. P1 19:19Goal by Verhaeghe (Ekblad)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Petry, McGinn, Pettersson, O'Connor · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk

  35. P1 0:00Period end
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 0:19Shot by Ekblad, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 1:21Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 1:39Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 1:58Shot by Rust, saved by Lyon
  41. P2 2:50Shot by McGinn, saved by Lyon
  42. P2 3:27Shot by White, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 3:34Shot by Forsling, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 3:39Shot by Forsling, saved by DeSmith
  45. P2 3:53Shot by Lundell, saved by DeSmith
  46. P2 4:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 5:02Luostarinen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Pettersson, Joseph · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Montour, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  48. P2 5:08Shot by Barkov, saved by DeSmith5v4
  49. P2 7:08Shot by Rust, saved by Lyon
  50. P2 7:39Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Lyon
  51. P2 8:17Shot by Lundell, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 8:29Shot by Gudas, saved by DeSmith
  53. P2 8:55Shot by Barkov, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 9:24Forsling: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Ruhwedel, Heinen, Joseph, Poehling, O'Connor · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, White, Lomberg, Denisenko

  55. P2 10:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon5v4
  56. P2 10:34Goal by Ekblad (Reinhart, Tkachuk)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Guentzel · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Mahura

  57. P2 11:17Shot by Rust, saved by Lyon5v4
  58. P2 11:34Zucker: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust, Ruhwedel · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, White, Lomberg, Mahura

  59. P2 13:42Shot by Lundell, saved by DeSmith
  60. P2 14:07Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by DeSmith
  61. P2 15:09Shot by Rakell, saved by Lyon
  62. P2 15:56Shot by Zucker, saved by Lyon
  63. P2 17:42Shot by Poehling, saved by Lyon
  64. P2 17:45Shot by O'Connor, saved by Lyon
  65. P2 18:28Tkachuk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Joseph · FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  66. P2 19:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon5v4
  67. P2 19:19Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Petry)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Lundell

  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Lyon
  71. P3 0:56Shot by Rakell, saved by Lyon
  72. P3 1:29Shot by Zucker, saved by Lyon
  73. P3 2:01Shot by Joseph, saved by Lyon
  74. P3 2:58Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon
  75. P3 4:00Shot by Gudas, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 4:10Goal by White (Cousins, Lomberg)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Joseph · FLA Gudas, Cousins, White, Lomberg, Mahura

  77. P3 5:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon
  78. P3 6:21Shot by Joseph, saved by Lyon
  79. P3 6:25Shot by Poehling, saved by Lyon
  80. P3 7:37Shot by Pettersson, saved by Lyon
  81. P3 7:48Shot by Petry, saved by Lyon
  82. P3 8:05Shot by Petry, saved by Lyon
  83. P3 8:23Shot by Forsling, saved by DeSmith
  84. P3 8:47Shot by Letang, saved by Lyon
  85. P3 10:16Shot by Heinen, saved by Lyon
  86. P3 10:29Goal by O'Connor (Poehling, Heinen)+34 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Petry, Pettersson, Heinen, Poehling, O'Connor · FLA Gudas, Cousins, White, Lomberg, Mahura

  87. P3 10:59Shot by Barkov, saved by DeSmith
  88. P3 11:12Shot by Rust, saved by Lyon
  89. P3 12:22Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith
  90. P3 12:26Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by DeSmith
  91. P3 13:33Cousins: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Joseph · FLA Staal, Cousins, Barkov, Montour, Lundell

  92. P3 14:30Goal by Malkin (Crosby, Letang)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Lundell

  93. P3 17:28Goal by Verhaeghe, unassisted+37 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell · FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  94. P3 18:12Shot by Reinhart, saved by DeSmith
  95. P3 0:00Period end
  96. OT 0:00Period start
  97. OT 0:45Shot by Lundell, saved by DeSmith3v3
  98. OT 1:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith3v3
  99. OT 1:35Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon3v3
  100. OT 2:45Shot by Letang, saved by Lyon3v3
  101. OT 2:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Lyon3v3
  102. OT 3:26Montour: High sticking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Guentzel · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour

  103. OT 4:06Goal by Letang (Malkin, Crosby)4v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Guentzel · FLA Staal, Barkov, Ekblad

  104. OT 4:06Period end4v4
  105. OT 4:06Final