Tue, Jan 24, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vancouver Canucks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 16 | 14 | 04 | 214 |
| VAN | 021 | 214 | 313 | 548 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:49CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Caleb Jones, Max Domi · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P2 7:02VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 12:06CHISam LaffertyAssists: Jake McCabe, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 15:47VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Elias Pettersson, Luke Schenn · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 11:34VANDakota JoshuaGWGAssists: Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes · Poke, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 12:08VANSheldon DriesAssists: Conor Garland, J.T. Miller · Between legs, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 18:34VANBo HorvatENAssists: Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.39 xG2–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 0:28CHIJake McCabe: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:31CHISeth Jones: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 10:57VANSheldon Dries: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:57CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:17VANLuke Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:07CHITaylor Raddysh: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:13CHIMax Domi: Instigator2 min
- P2 8:13CHIMax Domi: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:13CHIMax Domi: Misconduct10 min
- P2 8:13VANDakota Joshua: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:02VANQuinn Hughes: Interference2 min
- P3 16:43VANCurtis Lazar: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Domi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Entwistle – Johnson5:30
xG 0.16–0.01 (97%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Dickinson4:31
xG 0.29–0.18 (61%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Kane – Athanasiou – Lafferty2:03
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Philp4:51
xG 0.00–0.32 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – McCabe2:47
xG 0.07–0.04 (66%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Johnson – Murphy9:56
xG 0.27–0.74 (27%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
- Jones – Mitchell12:52
xG 0.29–1.05 (22%)attempts 7–21goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko5:52
xG 0.60–0.02 (97%)attempts 8–2goals 2–1
- Horvat – Joshua – Boeser4:39
xG 0.47–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Miller – Garland – Dries5:33
xG 0.53–0.12 (81%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Horvat – Boeser – Studnicka6:48
xG 0.55–0.33 (63%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson14:06
xG 1.17–0.40 (75%)attempts 26–10goals 1–1
- Burroughs – Dermott8:37
xG 0.62–0.21 (74%)attempts 12–2goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes9:59
xG 0.62–0.36 (63%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).