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Ice Lab

Centre · #81

Dakota Joshua

St. Louis Blues Vancouver Canucks Toronto Maple Leafs(traded during the season)
Age
30
Shoots
Left
Height
191 cm
Weight
99 kg
Born
Dearborn, USA
Draft
2014, round 5, #128 (TOR)

Career · 2020–21 to 2025–26

Games
296
Goals
50
Points
96
TOI per game
12:08
xGF% (5v5)
50.6%
Goals above expected
+3.0
ShowAll teamsSt. Louis BluesVancouver CanucksToronto Maple Leafs

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2020–21STL12101−38:58911.1%00.533.2%
2021–22STL30358+68:30319.7%04.459.7%
2022–23VAN79111223−1611:317115.5%110.346.5%
2023–24VAN63181432+1914:238421.4%114.657.5%
2024–25VAN577714−1312:585213.5%29.050.4%
2025–26TOR5510818−212:155219.2%08.245.3%
Total3 teams296504696−912:0829916.7%447.050.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.250100150200250
6m8m10m12m14m16m50100150200250Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2020–21 to 2025–26 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

58th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8465th pct
  • Assists /600.7735th pct
  • ixG /600.7957th pct
  • Goals above expected+3.077th pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)50.6%67th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.7%28th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.684th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.1560th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game12:0834th pct
  • PP time share5.5%28th pct
  • Offensive zone starts39.8%20th pct
  • Quality of competition23.7%35th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Garnet HathawayWSH/BOS/PHI0.89
  2. Josh ArchibaldPIT0.89
  3. Tye KartyeSEA/NYR0.85
  4. Cal ClutterbuckNYI0.84
  5. Curtis LazarBOS/VAN/NJD0.84
  6. Paul CotterVGK/NJD0.84

Faceoffs

How often Joshua wins the draw over 2020–21 to 2025–26, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1159+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

50.8%

163–158 · below the 1159 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

50.9%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

+3

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.2

321 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

59%59 · −0.451%79 · +4.143%35 · +2.553%19 · +4.064%22 · −1.545%11 · −1.940%10 · +1.050%44 · +2.543%42 · −0.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone48.2% 55–59
  • Neutral zone56.2% 68–53
  • Defensive zone46.5% 40–46

By strength

  • Even strength52.2% 152–139
  • Power play60.0% 6–4
  • Shorthanded25.0% 5–15

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +17 after a win, −13 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–216457.8%57.0%
2021–227553.3%53.4%
2022–234353.5%53.4%
2023–247247.2%47.9%
2024–254254.8%55.2%
2025–262524.0%25.4%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+3.0 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200250Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.2 km/h15th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph2327th pct
  • Hardest shot128.8 km/h20th pct
  • Distance skated171 km42nd pct
  • Offensive-zone time38.5%10th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.2 km/h5th pct

▲ +0.3 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 34.5 km/h, 8th percentile (30 games)2022–23: 36.9 km/h, 83rd percentile (79 games)2023–24: 34.5 km/h, 8th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 33.8 km/h, 2nd percentile (57 games)2025–26: 34.2 km/h, 5th percentile (55 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

2.010th pct

▲ +0.3 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 4.2, 38th percentile (30 games)2022–23: 2.3, 17th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 2.2, 12th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 1.8, 7th percentile (57 games)2025–26: 2.0, 10th percentile (55 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.3 km33rd pct

▼ −0.3 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.8 km, 62nd percentile (30 games)2022–23: 14.8 km, 16th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 14.7 km, 12th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 15.6 km, 48th percentile (57 games)2025–26: 15.3 km, 33rd percentile (55 games)

Hardest shot

128.8 km/h8th pct

▼ −5.4 km/h since 2024–25

11012013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 122.8 km/h, 1st percentile (30 games)2022–23: 136.2 km/h, 19th percentile (79 games)2023–24: 131.7 km/h, 11th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 134.2 km/h, 21st percentile (57 games)2025–26: 128.8 km/h, 8th percentile (55 games)

Offensive-zone time

38.5%11th pct

▼ −2.0 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 43.1%, 69th percentile (30 games)2022–23: 39.8%, 23rd percentile (79 games)2023–24: 40.7%, 35th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 40.5%, 30th percentile (57 games)2025–26: 38.5%, 11th percentile (55 games)