Thu, Jan 26, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
WSH winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:11 | 0.11 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:04 | 0.10 | 61.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.05 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.13 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:23 | 0.23 | 42.1% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:04 | 0.32 | 42.0% | +30.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.11 | 53.1% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.13 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.24 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.12 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.28 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.05 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.03 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 63.7% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:26 | 0.28 | 63.0% | +19.6 |
| O | 45 | 43 | 2 | .956 | 4.23 | +2.2 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:33 | 0.12 | 46.8% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:37 | 0.06 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.01 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 21:05 | 0.56 | 41.7% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.07 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.72 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 59.0% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.13 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.22 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.37 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:48 | 0.75 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:26 | 0.43 | 56.0% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.21 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.32 | 59.6% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.07 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 38.7% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.14 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:41 | 0.01 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 2.25 | +0.2 | 65:00 |