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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 29, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dmitry OrlovD · #9000−1024:440.0130.4%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000−2622:100.4321.6%0.0
Nick JensenD · #3000−1019:570.0345.3%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #42000−2019:570.0416.1%0.0
Erik GustafssonD · #56000−3218:470.0940.6%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1118:420.0124.4%0.0
T.J. OshieRW · #77000−1316:440.2852.1%0.0
Lars EllerC · #200000216:190.1251.6%0.0
Dylan StromeC · #17000−1116:150.1942.9%0.0
Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92000−1115:430.0117.9%0.0
Marcus JohanssonLW · #90011−2015:260.1833.2%+16.1
Conor ShearyLW · #73011−2115:190.2225.7%+16.1
Nicklas BackstromC · #19101−2214:110.0642.8%+16.1
Nicolas Aube-KubelRW · #960000213:490.0978.7%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #39000−1012:460.0014.4%0.0
Garnet HathawayRW · #210000112:420.0854.8%0.0
Sonny MilanoLW · #150000011:110.0644.2%0.0
Matt IrwinD · #520000210:480.0593.2%0.0
Darcy Kuemper#35L20164.8001.93−2.134:02
Charlie Lindgren#79–761.8571.23+0.225:40

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

TJ BrodieD · #78011+2021:150.0080.5%+6.9
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370000021:010.0052.2%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+2020:570.0061.8%+16.5
Morgan RiellyD · #44101+2320:030.2277.1%+20.3
Mark GiordanoD · #55011+1219:120.0365.1%+0.2
Rasmus SandinD · #38011+2018:550.0262.1%+14.3
John TavaresC · #91022+1118:190.1254.1%+36.8
Justin HollD · #3000+1017:580.0054.6%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58112+1517:560.7451.7%+36.8
David KampfC · #64011+1416:340.2780.3%+6.9
Alexander KerfootC · #15000+1215:210.3473.6%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47101+1215:040.3280.9%+6.9
William NylanderRW · #88101+1214:010.3891.7%+14.3
Calle JarnkrokC · #19011+1312:310.4283.3%+14.3
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29011+1012:020.0060.5%+0.2
Joey AndersonRW · #28000+1211:500.2379.0%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24000+109:220.0026.2%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12101+118:490.0726.2%+0.2
Ilya Samsonov#35W24231.9581.96+1.059:49