Sun, Jan 29, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
64%
8%
20%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.01 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 22:10 | 0.43 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.04 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.09 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.28 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.12 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.19 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.01 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.18 | 33.2% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.22 | 25.7% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.06 | 42.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.09 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.08 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.06 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.05 | 93.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 1.93 | −2.1 | 34:02 | |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 1.23 | +0.2 | 25:40 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 80.5% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.00 | 61.8% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.22 | 77.1% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.03 | 65.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.02 | 62.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.12 | 54.1% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:56 | 0.74 | 51.7% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.27 | 80.3% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.34 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.32 | 80.9% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.38 | 91.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.42 | 83.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 60.5% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.23 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.07 | 26.2% | +0.2 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.96 | +1.0 | 59:49 |