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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 7, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Seattle Kraken 0, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.

NYI winsSEA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Jones
  3. P1 4:34Shot by Donato, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:48Shot by Beniers, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 5:59Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 6:03Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 6:31Shot by Eberle, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 7:15Shot by Bailey, saved by Jones
  9. P1 7:59Goal by Bolduc (Mayfield, Nelson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Bolduc · SEA Gourde, Megna, Soucy, Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen

  10. P1 9:36Shot by Pulock, saved by Jones
  11. P1 11:58Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jones
  12. P1 12:37Shot by Parise, saved by Jones
  13. P1 14:49Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 16:58Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 18:07Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Jones
  16. P1 18:22Shot by Parise, saved by Jones
  17. P1 18:29Goal by Holmstrom (Pageau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom · SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, Wennberg, McCann, Borgen

  18. P1 19:25Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:13Shot by Barzal, saved by Jones
  22. P2 1:28Shot by Horvat, saved by Jones
  23. P2 2:40Shot by Schwartz, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 3:38Goal by Parise (Pageau, Pelech)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · SEA Oleksiak, Borgen, Tanev, Geekie, Tolvanen

  25. P2 3:54Shot by Eberle, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 4:59Shot by Fasching, saved by Jones
  27. P2 5:08Goal by Horvat (Barzal)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · SEA Gourde, Megna, Soucy, Bjorkstrand, Tolvanen

  28. P2 6:00Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 6:26Shot by Bolduc, saved by Jones
  30. P2 7:52Shot by Fasching, saved by Jones
  31. P2 8:49Shot by Parise, saved by Jones
  32. P2 10:38Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 11:47Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 13:01Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jones
  35. P2 13:06Shot by Dobson, saved by Jones
  36. P2 13:17Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 14:00Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jones
  38. P2 15:10Barzal: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · SEA Oleksiak, Gourde, Borgen, Tanev, Geekie

  39. P2 15:44Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin4v5
  40. P2 15:45Shot by Wennberg, saved by Sorokin4v5
  41. P2 15:46Shot by Wennberg, saved by Sorokin4v5
  42. P2 17:08Shot by Schwartz, saved by Sorokin4v5
  43. P2 17:24Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 17:57Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 19:25Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Jones
  49. P3 2:06Shot by Soucy, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 4:37Shot by Aho, saved by Jones
  51. P3 6:15Shot by Martin, saved by Jones
  52. P3 8:19Shot by Schwartz, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 9:27Shot by Fasching, saved by Jones
  54. P3 9:40Shot by Eberle, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 9:42Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 10:47Shot by Tanev, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 11:59Shot by Lee, saved by Jones
  58. P3 12:49Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 13:04Shot by Borgen, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 13:34Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 15:03Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 16:05Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 16:24Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jones
  64. P3 16:40Oleksiak: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · SEA Oleksiak, Donato, Borgen, Tanev, Geekie

  65. P3 18:38Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jones5v4
  66. P3 18:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Jones5v4
  67. P3 19:14Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final