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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 9, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Vancouver Canucks 6, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.

NYI winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Bear, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Bailey, saved by Delia
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 2:56Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Bear, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 3:21Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 3:48Parise: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · VAN Miller, Bear, Beauvillier, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko

  9. P1 5:33Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin4v5
  10. P1 11:05Goal by Palmieri (Bailey, Pelech)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Boeser, Pettersson

  11. P1 11:44Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Pettersson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock · VAN Ekman-Larsson, Burroughs, Beauvillier, Pettersson, Kuzmenko

  12. P1 12:30Goal by Boeser (Miller, Stillman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Dobson, Bolduc, Holmstrom · VAN Miller, Burroughs, Boeser, Stillman, Podkolzin

  13. P1 14:34Goal by Nelson, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock · VAN Burroughs, Beauvillier, Stillman, Pettersson, Kuzmenko

  14. P1 15:01Shot by Parise, saved by Delia
  15. P1 15:31Shot by Pelech, saved by Delia
  16. P1 17:12Shot by Horvat, saved by Delia
  17. P1 19:12Shot by Palmieri, saved by Delia
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:25Garland: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Bolduc · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Garland, Podkolzin

  21. P2 0:53Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  22. P2 2:25Goal by Barzal (Dobson, Lee)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · VAN Di Giuseppe, Joshua, Bear, Hughes

  23. P2 2:34Bolduc: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Bolduc, Holmstrom · VAN Miller, Burroughs, Boeser, Garland, Stillman

  24. P2 2:40Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin4v5
  25. P2 4:38Shot by Parise, saved by Delia
  26. P2 4:43Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 5:15Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 5:16Shot by Aman, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 5:17Shot by Aman, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 6:58Shot by Romanov, saved by Delia
  31. P2 7:23Shot by Martin, saved by Delia
  32. P2 7:51Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Delia
  33. P2 7:57Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Delia
  34. P2 8:11Shot by Parise, saved by Delia
  35. P2 8:12Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Delia
  36. P2 8:45Shot by Lee, saved by Delia
  37. P2 9:33Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 12:18Shot by Pelech, saved by Delia
  39. P2 13:08Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 14:24Shot by Dries, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 14:41Shot by Burroughs, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 15:13Goal by Horvat (Barzal, Pulock)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · VAN Burroughs, Boeser, Beauvillier, Stillman, Dries

  43. P2 16:03Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 16:04Goal by Aman (Di Giuseppe, Joshua)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Fasching, Dobson, Romanov · VAN Di Giuseppe, Bear, Beauvillier, Hughes, Aman

  45. P2 17:09Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 17:21Shot by Burroughs, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 18:56Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 19:55Shot by Garland, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Delia
  52. P3 1:41Shot by Nelson, saved by Delia
  53. P3 3:52Pelech: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson, Holmstrom · VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Garland, Podkolzin

  54. P3 4:38Goal by Pettersson (Hughes, Boeser)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Cizikas, Mayfield, Romanov · VAN Miller, Boeser, Beauvillier, Pettersson, Hughes

  55. P3 7:15Shot by Burroughs, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 7:22Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 8:28Goal by Pettersson (Boeser, Bear)+33 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock · VAN Boeser, Bear, Beauvillier, Pettersson, Hughes

  58. P3 9:34Shot by Lee, saved by Delia
  59. P3 9:59Shot by Nelson, saved by Delia
  60. P3 10:01Bear: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal · VAN Boeser, Bear, Beauvillier, Stillman, Aman

  61. P3 10:43Shot by Horvat, saved by Delia5v4
  62. P3 10:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Delia5v4
  63. P3 11:47Shot by Palmieri, saved by Delia5v4
  64. P3 11:51Shot by Parise, saved by Delia5v4
  65. P3 11:52Shot by Parise, saved by Delia5v4
  66. P3 13:34Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 14:15Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 15:38Pelech: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Bolduc · VAN Miller, Garland, Stillman, Dries, Hughes, Kuzmenko

  69. P3 16:02Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin4v5
  70. P3 16:03Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin4v5
  71. P3 16:03Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin4v5
  72. P3 16:58Goal by Beauvillier (Boeser, Hughes)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Cizikas, Mayfield, Dobson · VAN Miller, Boeser, Beauvillier, Pettersson, Hughes

  73. P3 17:55Hughes: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · VAN Miller, Bear, Garland, Pettersson, Hughes

  74. P3 18:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Delia6v4
  75. P3 19:11Goal by Dobson (Barzal, Horvat)6v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · VAN Lazar, Bear, Stillman, Aman

  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final