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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 11, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Edmonton Oilers 6, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Edmonton Oilers

6

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 68% of the time.

OTT winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:12Shot by Kulak, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 2:18Goal by McDavid (Draisaitl, Hyman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Motte, Chabot, Gambrell, Kelly, Zub · EDM Hyman, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid, Desharnais

  4. P1 2:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  5. P1 4:29Shot by Janmark, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 4:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 4:49Chabot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Chabot, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson · EDM Hyman, Janmark, Draisaitl, Desharnais, Bouchard

  8. P1 5:08Shot by McDavid, saved by Forsberg4v5
  9. P1 5:46Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg4v5
  10. P1 8:02Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 8:26Shot by Hamonic, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 9:58Shot by Kulak, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 10:11Shot by Holloway, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 11:22Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 12:42Shot by Janmark, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 12:48Shot by Kane, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 13:35Greig: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Joseph, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub · EDM Kane, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  18. P1 13:49Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Forsberg4v5
  19. P1 14:36Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell4v5
  20. P1 15:03Shot by Kane, saved by Forsberg4v5
  21. P1 15:25Draisaitl: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Sanderson · EDM Kane, Nurse, McLeod, Bouchard, Holloway

  22. P1 16:23Shot by Stützle, saved by Campbell5v4
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  24. P1 19:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  25. P1 19:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Campbell
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:21Goal by Sanderson (Joseph, Tkachuk)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · EDM Kane, Ceci, Nurse, McDavid, Puljujarvi

  29. P2 1:43Shot by Hyman, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 1:44DeBrincat: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Greig, Zub · EDM Hyman, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Broberg

  31. P2 1:44Goal by Hyman, unassistedother+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Greig, Zub · EDM Hyman, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Broberg

  32. P2 3:50Shot by Kane, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 4:13Shot by Brassard, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 4:51Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 5:52Shot by Joseph, saved by Campbell
  36. P2 5:56Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 6:12Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 7:19Kulak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Chabot, Batherson, Pinto, Zub · EDM Barrie, Kulak, Ryan, McLeod, Holloway

  39. P2 7:42Shot by Nurse, saved by Forsberg5v4
  40. P2 8:41Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell5v4
  41. P2 10:04Shot by Hyman, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 10:16Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 11:34Kane: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Joseph, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · EDM Kane, Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, Desharnais

  44. P2 11:34Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Holden, Joseph, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · EDM Kane, Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, Desharnais

  45. P2 12:39Shot by Hamonic, saved by Campbell
  46. P2 12:54Shot by Hamonic, saved by Campbell
  47. P2 13:51Ryan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Kelly, Pinto, Zub · EDM Draisaitl, Ryan, McLeod, Bouchard, Broberg

  48. P2 15:18Goal by McLeod (McDavid)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Chabot, Joseph, Pinto, Greig · EDM Ceci, McDavid, Desharnais, McLeod

  49. P2 15:35Goal by Giroux (Greig, Pinto)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brassard, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson · EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl

  50. P2 16:39Shot by Bouchard, saved by Forsberg
  51. P2 17:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  52. P2 17:58Goal by Brannstrom (DeBrincat, Holden)+26 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Pinto · EDM Barrie, Kulak, Ryan, McLeod, Holloway

  53. P2 18:30Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg
  54. P2 18:57Shot by McDavid, saved by Forsberg
  55. P2 19:28Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:49Shot by Hamonic, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 1:27Shot by Joseph, saved by Campbell
  60. P3 1:56Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Forsberg
  61. P3 1:57Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 2:43Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 3:05Goal by Puljujarvi (Kulak, Nurse)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Greig, Zub · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Nurse, Puljujarvi, Kostin

  64. P3 5:04Shot by McDavid, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 5:23Gambrell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Motte, Gambrell, Kelly, Sanderson · EDM Barrie, Kulak, McDavid, Puljujarvi, Kostin

  66. P3 5:32Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg4v5
  67. P3 6:12Barrie: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Kelly, Sanderson · EDM Barrie, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid

  68. P3 7:24Goal by Ryan (Kulak, Kane)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Gambrell, Pinto, Stützle · EDM Kane, Kulak, Nurse, Ryan

  69. P3 8:15Shot by Nurse, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 10:37Shot by Holden, saved by Campbell
  71. P3 10:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Campbell
  72. P3 13:04Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 13:50Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Pinto, Zub · EDM Kane, Kulak, Draisaitl, Desharnais, McLeod

  74. P3 13:59Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Forsberg4v5
  75. P3 14:31Shot by Hyman, saved by Forsberg4v5
  76. P3 14:35Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Forsberg4v5
  77. P3 14:37Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Draisaitl, McDavid)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Hamonic, Joseph, Kelly · EDM Barrie, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid

  78. P3 14:37Tkachuk: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Hamonic, Joseph, Kelly · EDM Barrie, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid

  79. P3 14:59Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sogaard4v5
  80. P3 15:43Shot by McLeod, saved by Sogaard4v5
  81. P3 15:54Shot by Nurse, saved by Sogaard4v5
  82. P3 16:56Shot by Stützle, saved by Campbell
  83. P3 18:26Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  84. P3 19:26Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Campbell
  85. P3 19:36Shot by Joseph, saved by Campbell
  86. P3 19:46Shot by Brassard, saved by Campbell
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final