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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 15, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Chicago Blackhawks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 93% of the time.

TOR winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Brodie)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews · CHI Kane, McCabe, Jones, Domi, Kurashev

  3. P1 1:02Goal by Lafferty, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · CHI Athanasiou, Dickinson, Lafferty, Jones, Mitchell

  4. P1 1:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 2:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 2:26Shot by Blackwell, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 2:40Shot by Blackwell, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 3:52Shot by Sandin, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 4:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 7:08Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 8:14Goal by Sandin (Tavares)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner, Timmins, Sandin · CHI Johnson, Murphy, Athanasiou, Dickinson, Lafferty

  13. P1 8:55Shot by Jones, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 10:03Shot by Engvall, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 10:15Shot by Kurashev, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 10:38Shot by Murphy, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 11:21Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Sandin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins, Sandin · CHI Johnson, Kane, Murphy, Domi, Kurashev

  18. P1 11:46Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 12:06Shot by Kampf, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 12:29Shot by Guttman, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 13:13Shot by Blackwell, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 14:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 14:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  24. P1 14:48Shot by Jones, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 14:48Shot by Raddysh, saved by Samsonov
  26. P1 15:10Shot by Timmins, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 15:36Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 15:47Shot by Anderson, saved by Mrazek
  29. P1 17:49Shot by Engvall, saved by Mrazek
  30. P1 18:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  31. P1 19:15Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  32. P1 19:34Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Samsonov
  33. P1 19:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 0:46Goal by Kurashev (Domi, McCabe)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting · CHI Kane, Murphy, McCabe, Domi, Kurashev

  38. P2 1:27Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 2:39Shot by Anderson, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 3:21Shot by Holmberg, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 4:19Domi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · CHI Johnson, Kane, Murphy, Domi, Kurashev

  42. P2 5:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek5v4
  43. P2 6:34Shot by Holmberg, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 6:57Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 7:37Goal by Tavares (Kerfoot, Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner · CHI Johnson, Jones, Raddysh, Mitchell, Guttman

  46. P2 9:33Shot by McCabe, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 11:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 11:37Shot by Bunting, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 13:03Shot by Mitchell, saved by Samsonov
  50. P2 13:08Timmins: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner, Timmins, Sandin · CHI Athanasiou, Dickinson, Lafferty, Jones, Mitchell

  51. P2 14:11Shot by Domi, saved by Samsonov4v5
  52. P2 15:31Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Samsonov
  53. P2 16:07Goal by Timmins (Matthews, Nylander)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins, Sandin · CHI Blackwell, McCabe, Jones, Katchouk, Johnson

  54. P2 16:41Shot by Liljegren, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 17:09Shot by Domi, saved by Samsonov
  56. P2 17:22Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov
  57. P2 18:12Domi: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Marner, Matthews · CHI Athanasiou, Dickinson, Domi, Jones, Mitchell

  58. P2 18:17Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  59. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 3:33Murphy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Holmberg · CHI Johnson, Blackwell, Murphy, Katchouk, Johnson

  62. P3 4:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  63. P3 5:38Timmins: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Engvall, Timmins, Sandin, Holmberg · CHI Murphy, Jones, Katchouk, Mitchell, Guttman

  64. P3 5:59Shot by Jones, saved by Samsonov4v5
  65. P3 6:27Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek4v5
  66. P3 7:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek4v5
  67. P3 8:21Shot by Holmberg, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 8:59Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 10:41Shot by Sandin, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 11:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 12:06Shot by Sandin, saved by Mrazek
  72. P3 12:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 12:56Shot by Jones, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 13:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 14:33Shot by McCabe, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 16:32Shot by Anderson, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 17:17Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov
  78. P3 18:41Shot by Kampf, saved by Mrazek
  79. P3 18:51Shot by Anderson, saved by Mrazek
  80. P3 19:15Shot by Holmberg, saved by Mrazek
  81. P3 19:23Holmberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Anderson, Aston-Reese, Timmins, Holmberg · CHI Johnson, Athanasiou, Dickinson, Lafferty, Mitchell

  82. P3 19:29Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov4v5
  83. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  84. P3 0:00Final