Wed, Feb 15, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 6, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 310 | 212 | 16 | 628 |
| VAN | 29 | 19 | 111 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:52VANCurtis LazarAssists: Dakota Joshua, Nils Aman · Deflected, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 5:51NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 7:03NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Vincent Trocheck · Snap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P1 12:45VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P1 15:36NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Niko Mikkola, Braden Schneider · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–2
- P2 0:50NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–2
- P2 9:26VANConor GarlandAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, Sheldon Dries · Backhand, 0.08 xG4–3
- P2 13:28NYRK'Andre MillerGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–3
- P3 8:51VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Elias Pettersson, Anthony Beauvillier · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–4
- P3 18:26NYRMika ZibanejadENAssists: Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.71 xG6–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 11:21NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:22NYRNiko Mikkola: Holding2 min
- P2 15:04VANNils Aman: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Vesey – Panarin13:15
xG 0.68–0.37 (65%)attempts 11–9goals 2–1
- Goodrow – Gauthier – Leschyshyn9:28
xG 0.58–0.27 (68%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Kreider – Tarasenko – Zibanejad12:46
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 5–14goals 2–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière9:29
xG 0.23–0.72 (24%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMikkola – Schneider15:10
xG 0.56–0.24 (70%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
- Fox – Lindgren16:27
xG 0.52–0.48 (52%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller14:00
xG 0.28–0.36 (44%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLazar – Joshua – Aman4:05
xG 0.58–0.05 (92%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Beauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko5:07
xG 0.33–0.10 (77%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Garland10:42
xG 0.39–0.27 (60%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Joshua – Boeser – Dries2:24
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBear – Stillman3:36
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Bear – Hughes10:35
xG 0.95–0.79 (54%)attempts 15–8goals 1–1
- Schenn – Myers3:08
xG 0.07–0.01 (83%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).