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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 16, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Florida Panthers 6, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Florida Panthers

6

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 79% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Kuemper
  3. P1 1:03Shot by Mahura, saved by Kuemper
  4. P1 2:05Shot by Eller, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 2:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 2:23Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 2:24Denisenko: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, Aube-Kubel · FLA Staal, Montour, White, Smith, Denisenko

  8. P1 5:31Shot by Jensen, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 5:32Eller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Hathaway, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · FLA Verhaeghe, Montour, Tkachuk, Mahura, Lundell

  10. P1 5:43Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper4v5
  11. P1 6:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Kuemper4v5
  12. P1 7:27Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Kuemper4v5
  13. P1 8:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Kuemper
  14. P1 9:10Goal by Forsling (Luostarinen, Verhaeghe)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Johansson, McIlrath, Milano, Fehérváry · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  15. P1 13:19Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 13:20Forsling: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, White, Smith, Denisenko

  17. P1 14:05Shot by Staal, saved by Kuemper5v4
  18. P1 17:29Shot by Barkov, saved by Kuemper
  19. P1 18:22Shot by Denisenko, saved by Kuemper
  20. P1 19:48Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:13Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  24. P2 0:32Shot by Eller, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 0:46Shot by Orlov, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 1:32Goal by Staal (Montour, Verhaeghe)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Johansson, Orlov, Jensen, Milano · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Montour, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  27. P2 2:43Shot by Smith, saved by Kuemper
  28. P2 4:51Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Kuemper
  29. P2 4:54Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  30. P2 5:19Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  31. P2 5:54Shot by Lomberg, saved by Kuemper
  32. P2 7:08Shot by Eller, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 7:09Shot by Eller, saved by Bobrovsky
  34. P2 7:20Goal by White (Lundell)+9 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Johansson, Orlov, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, White, Smith, Lundell

  35. P2 8:03Shot by Barkov, saved by Kuemper
  36. P2 8:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 8:42Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 8:50Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 11:29Shot by Oshie, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 12:19Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Kuemper
  41. P2 13:18Shot by White, saved by Kuemper
  42. P2 14:29Shot by Barkov, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 14:46Shot by Hathaway, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 14:59Shot by Reinhart, saved by Kuemper
  45. P2 15:28Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky
  46. P2 15:29Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky
  47. P2 15:51Goal by Strome (Oshie, Gustafsson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Gustafsson, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Strome · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  48. P2 16:19Shot by Lomberg, saved by Kuemper
  49. P2 17:03Goal by Barkov (Smith)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Kuznetsov, McIlrath, Milano, Fehérváry, Snively · FLA Staal, Barkov, Montour, Forsling, Denisenko

  50. P2 18:04Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper
  51. P2 18:47Shot by Orlov, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P2 18:48Oshie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Aube-Kubel · FLA Staal, Gudas, Lomberg, Tkachuk, Mahura

  53. P2 18:48Oshie: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Aube-Kubel · FLA Staal, Gudas, Lomberg, Tkachuk, Mahura

  54. P2 18:48Lomberg: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Aube-Kubel · FLA Staal, Gudas, Lomberg, Tkachuk, Mahura

  55. P2 19:10Shot by Ekblad, saved by Kuemper4v5
  56. P2 19:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Kuemper4v5
  57. P2 19:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Kuemper4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:32Shot by Forsling, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 3:53Shot by Gudas, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 4:51White: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Jensen, Gustafsson, Mantha, Strome · FLA Montour, Forsling, White, Smith, Denisenko

  63. P3 6:51Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Bobrovsky
  64. P3 6:57Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 8:14Shot by Mahura, saved by Kuemper
  66. P3 8:33Shot by Oshie, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 9:06Shot by Jensen, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 11:15Shot by Orlov, saved by Bobrovsky
  69. P3 11:38Shot by Johansson, saved by Bobrovsky
  70. P3 12:21Montour: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Gustafsson, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Strome · FLA Staal, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Lundell

  71. P3 13:04Goal by Backstrom (Gustafsson)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Johansson, Gustafsson, Strome · FLA Staal, Staal, Gudas, Luostarinen

  72. P3 13:33Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Bobrovsky
  73. P3 15:26Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bobrovsky
  74. P3 16:11Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Kuemper
  75. P3 16:46Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  76. P3 16:47Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  77. P3 16:51Staal: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Gustafsson, Mantha, Strome · FLA Staal, Staal, Cousins, Ekblad, Lomberg

  78. P3 17:28Goal by Kuznetsov (Oshie, Gustafsson)6v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Strome · FLA Staal, Gudas, Forsling, Lundell

  79. P3 18:39Goal by Lundell, unassisted6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Kuznetsov, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Fehérváry · FLA Staal, Gudas, Barkov, Reinhart, Lundell

  80. P3 19:19Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  81. P3 19:33Shot by Strome, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  82. P3 19:45Goal by Reinhart (Lundell)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Strome · FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling, Lundell

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final