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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 17, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, New York Islanders 5

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.

NYI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Mayfield, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 1:27Shot by Kapanen, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:28Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:44Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 3:27Shot by Horvat, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 3:55Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 8:05Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 9:33Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 9:34Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 9:40Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 11:02Shot by Kapanen, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:57Shot by Joseph, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 12:00Goal by Crosby (Joseph, Ruhwedel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Andreoff, Fasching, Aho, Dobson · PIT Crosby, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Joseph

  16. P1 13:26Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 13:52Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 13:56Goal by Lee (Barzal)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · PIT Crosby, Petry, Guentzel, Kapanen, Pettersson

  19. P1 14:16Shot by Pulock, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 15:04Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 15:28Shot by Horvat, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 16:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 18:52Shot by Cizikas, saved by DeSmith
  24. P1 19:16Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 19:24Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  26. P1 19:32Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 19:33Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 1:32Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 1:33Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 1:44Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 2:15Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 2:21Shot by Kapanen, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 3:06Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 3:53Goal by Rakell (Guentzel, Letang)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Andreoff, Mayfield, Fasching, Romanov · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Blueger, Guentzel

  38. P2 4:10Shot by Barzal, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 4:52Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 5:35Goal by Zucker (Joseph, Ruhwedel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rust, Ruhwedel, Joseph

  41. P2 6:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 7:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 8:29Shot by Horvat, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 9:35Shot by Martin, saved by DeSmith
  45. P2 10:08Joseph: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Aho, Dobson · PIT Carter, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Joseph

  46. P2 10:24Shot by Nelson, saved by DeSmith5v4
  47. P2 12:31Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 12:52Shot by Pelech, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 13:31Shot by Romanov, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 14:25Goal by Nelson (Mayfield, Romanov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · PIT Carter, Petry, McGinn, Kapanen, Pettersson

  51. P2 14:36Shot by Parise, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 15:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 15:27Shot by Parise, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 16:07Shot by Archibald, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 16:11Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  56. P2 16:44Barzal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Romanov · PIT Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Pettersson

  57. P2 18:41Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin4v5
  58. P2 18:49Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  59. P2 18:57Goal by Rakell (Crosby, Pettersson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat · PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson

  60. P2 19:32Goal by Lee (Barzal, Aho)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, McGinn, Kapanen

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:36Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 4:20Joseph: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Aho · PIT Carter, Malkin, Rust, Ruhwedel, Joseph

  65. P3 4:56Shot by Dobson, saved by DeSmith5v4
  66. P3 5:01Goal by Nelson (Dobson, Lee)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · PIT Carter, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Pettersson

  67. P3 5:26Shot by Martin, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 5:52Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 7:59Shot by Fasching, saved by DeSmith
  70. P3 8:59Shot by Palmieri, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 10:13Shot by Cizikas, saved by DeSmith
  72. P3 10:56Shot by Lee, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 11:06Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 11:54Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 13:17Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 13:38Shot by Pelech, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 15:07Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 15:35Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  79. P3 15:50Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  80. P3 17:17Goal by Parise (Nelson, Palmieri)+37 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Aho · PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust

  81. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  82. P3 0:00Final