Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 20, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Fasching, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 2:11Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 4:27Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 4:48Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 4:55Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 6:04Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 6:12Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Rakell)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Holmstrom

  11. P1 7:13Shot by Romanov, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 7:34Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 9:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 9:19Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 9:32Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 10:33Aho: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Archibald, Ruhwedel, Guentzel · NYI Palmieri, Andreoff, Pulock, Johnston, Aho

  17. P1 13:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 15:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 15:52Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 15:53Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 16:16Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 16:20Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 16:23Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 16:25Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 17:37Shot by Durandeau, saved by Jarry
  26. P1 18:21Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 19:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 19:37Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 0:39Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 0:40Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 1:35Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 1:54Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 2:06Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  37. P2 2:21Fasching: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Ruhwedel, Guentzel · NYI Andreoff, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston, Holmstrom

  38. P2 3:38Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  39. P2 3:52Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin5v4
  40. P2 4:25Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 4:52Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 5:04Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 5:19Goal by Nelson (Parise)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Archibald, Blueger, Pettersson, O'Connor · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Aho, Dobson

  44. P2 5:50Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 5:58Shot by Durandeau, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 6:37Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 7:25Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 8:32Shot by Durandeau, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 8:35Shot by Durandeau, saved by Jarry
  50. P2 9:05Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 9:49Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 10:38Parise: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rust, Ruhwedel, Guentzel · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov

  53. P2 10:43Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  54. P2 11:24Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  55. P2 12:26Goal by Zucker (Petry, Kapanen)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Kapanen · NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  56. P2 12:46Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 12:58Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry
  58. P2 13:02Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  59. P2 13:15Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  60. P2 13:59McGinn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, McGinn, Kapanen · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Fasching, Durandeau, Romanov

  61. P2 16:31Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  62. P2 17:14Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  63. P2 17:15Malkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  64. P2 17:15Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  65. P2 17:15Johnston: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  66. P2 17:15Johnston: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  67. P2 17:15Johnston: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  68. P2 17:15Zucker: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  69. P2 17:15Zucker: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  70. P2 17:15Zucker: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  71. P2 17:15Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  72. P2 17:15Letang: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  73. P2 17:15Pulock: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  74. P2 17:15Pettersson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  75. P2 17:15Nelson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  76. P2 17:15Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Martin, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Johnston

  77. P2 17:26Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  78. P2 18:05Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  79. P2 18:18Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  80. P2 18:43McGinn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Joseph · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, Aho, Romanov

  81. P2 18:56Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  82. P2 19:48Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry4v5
  83. P2 19:59Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry4v5
  84. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  85. P3 0:00Period start
  86. P3 0:21Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin4v5
  87. P3 1:45Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  88. P3 2:17Shot by Kapanen, saved by Sorokin
  89. P3 2:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  90. P3 3:53Mayfield: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Archibald, Guentzel · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching, Horvat, Durandeau

  91. P3 3:53Guentzel: Holding the stick (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Archibald, Guentzel · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching, Horvat, Durandeau

  92. P3 3:53Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Archibald, Guentzel · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching, Horvat, Durandeau

  93. P3 5:03Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry5v4
  94. P3 8:34Goal by Horvat (Fasching)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rust, Ruhwedel, Joseph, O'Connor · NYI Pelech, Fasching, Horvat, Pulock, Durandeau

  95. P3 9:50Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  96. P3 10:15Goal by Lee (Martin, Horvat)+35 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Archibald, Blueger, McGinn, Joseph · NYI Martin, Lee, Horvat, Aho, Dobson

  97. P3 10:52Letang: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, McGinn · NYI Nelson, Mayfield, Fasching, Durandeau, Romanov

  98. P3 12:40Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry4v5
  99. P3 13:14Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  100. P3 14:00Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  101. P3 14:19Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  102. P3 14:34Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  103. P3 15:44Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  104. P3 18:50Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin6v5
  105. P3 18:56Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin6v5
  106. P3 19:35Goal by Nelson (Parise)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Aho

  107. P3 0:00Period end
  108. P3 0:00Final