Fri, Feb 24, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 59% of the time.
31%
9%
9%
50%
TOR winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zuccarello–Hartman–Kaprizov | Foligno–Eriksson Ek–Boldy | Reaves–Shaw–Dewar | Gaudreau–Greenway–Duhaime | Hartman–Kaprizov–Boldy | Gaudreau–Greenway–Boldy | Zuccarello–Kaprizov–Boldy | Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy | Reaves–Foligno–Eriksson Ek | Foligno–Eriksson Ek–Duhaime | Spurgeon–Middleton | Goligoski–Dumba | Mermis–Addison | Spurgeon–Mermis | Dumba–Middleton | Middleton–Addison | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 1:070.07–0.10 | 3:140.07–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 3:380.13–0.17 | 0:590.00–0.39 | 4:090.20–0.08 | 6:070.07–0.63 | |||||||||
| O'Reilly–Tavares–Marner | 5:140.27–0.28 | 1:280.11–0.00 | 0:580.07–0.00 | 1:440.01–0.06 | 4:290.19–0.24 | 3:430.12–0.10 | 1:100.13–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.08 | ||||||||
| Kerfoot–Acciari–Aston-Reese | 2:180.13–0.07 | 1:240.03–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:430.18–0.07 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 2:160.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Engvall–Kampf | 1:260.04–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:200.03–0.30 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.32 | 1:320.05–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.13 | 0:440.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Kampf | 1:580.00–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:410.09–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.13 | 1:170.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Marner–Matthews | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 0:390.00–0.23 | |||||||||||||||
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | ||||||||||||||||
| Holl–Rielly | 4:270.07–0.25 | 2:140.09–0.07 | 4:360.01–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 6:030.10–0.39 | 5:240.12–0.03 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.08 | |||||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 3:340.31–0.10 | 3:240.07–0.23 | 3:450.16–0.37 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.39 | 4:450.39–0.53 | 6:260.02–0.71 | 2:010.23–0.01 | 0:300.01–0.08 | ||||||
| Brodie–Timmins | 1:340.00–0.12 | 3:590.12–0.07 | 2:200.11–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.13 | 0:410.09–0.00 | 4:160.17–0.09 | 4:050.04–0.23 | 4:100.11–0.13 | ||||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 0:570.00–0.04 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 1:060.08–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.04 | 0:310.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Giordano–Rielly | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:460.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Giordano–Brodie | 0:430.00–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 25 | 24:39 | 0:59 | 1:46 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 25 | 23:37 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 2 | 6 |
 Alex GoligoskiMIN | 27 | 22:54 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Mathew DumbaMIN | 27 | 22:11 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 22:09 | 0:58 | 2:07 | 8 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 21:56 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 8 | 2 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 20 | 21:36 | 1:05 | 2:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 20 | 21:07 | 1:03 | 2:16 | 1 | 1 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 20:38 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 20:25 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 9 | 0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 26 | 20:13 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 24 | 19:55 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 0 | 5 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 19:52 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 18 | 18:56 | 1:03 | 2:42 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 17:41 | 0:44 | 1:47 | 9 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 17:27 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 6 | 4 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 18 | 17:13 | 0:57 | 1:55 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 18 | 16:44 | 0:56 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan O'ReillyTOR | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 19 | 15:46 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 6 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 18 | 15:22 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 0 | 5 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 19 | 14:52 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 14:37 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 18 | 14:35 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Frederick GaudreauMIN | 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 2:14 | 5 | 5 |
 Calen AddisonMIN | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 3 | 1 |
 Dakota MermisMIN | 15 | 12:54 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 1 | 1 |
 Jordan GreenwayMIN | 14 | 11:46 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan ReavesMIN | 12 | 11:34 | 0:58 | 2:01 | 0 | 2 |
 Brandon DuhaimeMIN | 16 | 11:20 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Mason ShawMIN | 15 | 10:56 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 0 | 2 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 14 | 10:23 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor DewarMIN | 15 | 10:02 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 11 | 9:51 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 0 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 12 | 8:00 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |