Mon, Feb 27, 2023·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 18 | 114 | 04 | 226 |
| ANA | 28 | 113 | 112 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:35CHITyler JohnsonPPAssists: Max Domi, Taylor Raddysh · Snap, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 13:18ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Troy Terry, Mason McTavish · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P1 19:14ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: John Klingberg, Frank Vatrano · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 13:11CHIAndreas AthanasiouPPAssists: Max Domi, Tyler Johnson · Slap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 19:42ANAMax JonesGWGAssists: Mason McTavish, Frank Vatrano · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 8:15ANATroy TerryAssists: Mason McTavish, Max Jones · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:58ANATrevor Zegras: Slashing2 min
- P1 4:29ANASimon Benoit: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 10:03CHIIan Mitchell: Holding2 min
- P1 10:49ANATroy Terry: Interference2 min
- P1 18:39CHIDavid Gust: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 2:49CHIBoris Katchouk: Interference2 min
- P2 12:28ANASimon Benoit: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:10CHITyler Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:41CHIJarred Tinordi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zegras won the faceoff against Guttman
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Domi – Seney9:09
xG 0.66–0.36 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Khaira – Anderson – Katchouk5:11
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Gust4:37
xG 0.15–0.07 (69%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Katchouk – Gust3:20
xG 0.28–0.30 (48%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Murphy11:02
xG 0.50–0.36 (58%)attempts 7–9goals 0–2
- Englund – Mitchell11:28
xG 0.38–0.25 (60%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Jones – Mitchell2:36
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestVatrano – Jones – McTavish2:45
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Grant – Megna – Comtois6:17
xG 0.43–0.23 (65%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Terry – Jones – McTavish7:06
xG 0.19–0.08 (70%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Strome – Terry – Zegras4:43
xG 0.19–0.26 (43%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Benoit13:16
xG 0.54–0.34 (62%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Fowler – Klingberg5:38
xG 0.13–0.33 (29%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Fowler11:14
xG 0.48–0.73 (39%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).