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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.

NSH winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:28Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:55Shot by Carrier, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 1:42Shot by Sissons, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 3:14Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  7. P1 6:32Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  8. P1 8:07Shot by Carter, saved by Saros
  9. P1 9:22Shot by Sherwood, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 9:41Shot by Glass, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 10:11Shot by Evangelista, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 10:17Shot by Jankowski, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 12:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros
  14. P1 12:53Shot by Fabbro, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 13:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 13:34Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Jankowski, Tomasino · PIT Crosby, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson

  17. P1 14:18Shot by Josi, saved by Jarry5v4
  18. P1 14:19Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry5v4
  19. P1 14:20Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry5v4
  20. P1 14:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry5v4
  21. P1 15:28Shot by Sherwood, saved by Jarry5v4
  22. P1 15:35Shot by Evangelista, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 17:14Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros
  24. P1 18:26Shot by Carter, saved by Saros
  25. P1 18:27Shot by Heinen, saved by Saros
  26. P1 18:29Shot by Heinen, saved by Saros
  27. P1 18:34Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  28. P1 19:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:34Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Saros5v6
  32. P2 0:44Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros5v6
  33. P2 0:45Granlund: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Fabbro, Glass · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel

  34. P2 1:22Shot by Trenin, saved by Jarry4v5
  35. P2 1:42Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros4v5
  36. P2 3:22Shot by Rutta, saved by Saros
  37. P2 3:43Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  38. P2 3:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 4:28Foote: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Tomasino · PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Joseph, Rutta

  40. P2 5:28Shot by Rakell, saved by Saros4v5
  41. P2 5:45Shot by Carter, saved by Saros4v5
  42. P2 6:01Shot by Petry, saved by Saros4v5
  43. P2 6:37Shot by Pettersson, saved by Saros
  44. P2 7:01Shot by Josi, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 8:21Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  46. P2 10:53Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  47. P2 12:24Shot by Pettersson, saved by Saros
  48. P2 12:46Shot by Sanford, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 12:57Shot by Sherwood, saved by Jarry
  50. P2 13:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros
  51. P2 14:51Shot by Rust, saved by Saros
  52. P2 14:58Shot by Petry, saved by Saros
  53. P2 16:36Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  54. P2 17:41Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:03Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  58. P3 2:16Shot by Rakell, saved by Saros
  59. P3 2:39Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel

  60. P3 5:48Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  61. P3 7:01Goal by Jankowski, unassisted+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Jankowski, Sanford, Carrier, Evangelista · PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust

  62. P3 7:45Shot by Josi, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 8:29Rutta: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Smith, Evangelista · PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rust, Joseph, Rutta

  64. P3 11:00Goal by Crosby (McGinn, Rakell)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Jankowski, Sanford, Lauzon, Trenin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, McGinn, Joseph

  65. P3 14:32Shot by Rust, saved by Saros
  66. P3 15:22Shot by Rakell, saved by Saros
  67. P3 18:21Goal by Zucker, unassisted+47 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Smith · PIT Malkin, Petry, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell

  68. P3 19:40Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry6v5
  69. P3 19:53Goal by Rust (Guentzel, Dumoulin)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak, Glass, Evangelista · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final