Tue, Feb 28, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Nashville Predators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
NSH winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:40 | 0.16 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.50 | 62.3% | +3.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:57 | 0.38 | 68.8% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 63.2% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.13 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.12 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.62 | 69.8% | +29.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.91 | 36.7% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.22 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.11 | 50.3% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.02 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 74.1% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.44 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:04 | 0.29 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:55 | 0.17 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.47 | +1.5 | 59:46 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 28:10 | 0.13 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:23 | 0.58 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.02 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.03 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.44 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.11 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.34 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.24 | 44.5% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.01 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.10 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.35 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.01 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.09 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.39 | +1.4 | 58:37 |