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Ice Lab

Right wing · #77

Luke Evangelista

Nashville Predators New Jersey Devils(traded during the season)
Age
24
Shoots
Right
Height
183 cm
Weight
83 kg
Born
Toronto, CAN
Draft
2020, round 2, #42 (NSH)

Career · 2022–23 to 2026–27

Games
256
Goals
47
Points
145
TOI per game
15:05
xGF% (5v5)
54.2%
Goals above expected
−9.0
ShowAll teamsNashville PredatorsNew Jersey Devils

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2022–23NSH247815+716:345413.0%25.544.5%
2023–24NSH80162339013:571729.3%1019.257.4%
2024–25NSH68102232−213:521347.5%511.553.0%
2025–26NSH81124456+116:371766.8%1718.654.7%
2026–27NJD3213+118:28922.2%11.269.8%
Total2 teams2564798145+715:055458.6%3556.054.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.21.450100150200250
12m14m16m18m50100150200250Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2022–23 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

84th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.7351st pct
  • Assists /601.5288th pct
  • ixG /600.8768th pct
  • Goals above expected−9.012th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)54.2%88th pct
  • CF% (5v5)55.0%94th pct
  • Relative xGF%+6.098th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.5191st pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game15:0563rd pct
  • PP time share42.6%73rd pct
  • Offensive zone starts70.5%89th pct
  • Quality of competition24.5%58th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Oliver BjorkstrandSEA/TBL0.87
  2. Nikolaj EhlersWPG/CAR0.86
  3. Jack QuinnBUF0.84
  4. Conor GarlandVAN0.83
  5. Alexis LafrenièreNYR0.83
  6. Michael BuntingTOR/CAR/PIT/NSH0.82

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−9.0 goals above expected

010203040506050100150200250Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.0 km/h7th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph00th pct
  • Hardest shot121.2 km/h44th pct
  • Distance skated13 km63rd pct
  • Offensive-zone time47.1%86th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.1 km/h49th pct

▲ +0.8 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373822–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 34.0 km/h, 3rd percentile (24 games)2023–24: 35.1 km/h, 21st percentile (80 games)2024–25: 35.3 km/h, 24th percentile (68 games)2025–26: 36.1 km/h, 49th percentile (81 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

3.122nd pct

▼ −0.5 since 2024–25

024681022–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 2.0, 12th percentile (24 games)2023–24: 2.5, 16th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 3.6, 27th percentile (68 games)2025–26: 3.1, 22nd percentile (81 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.4 km42nd pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25

1414.51515.51616.522–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 14.3 km, 6th percentile (24 games)2023–24: 15.3 km, 30th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 15.6 km, 51st percentile (68 games)2025–26: 15.4 km, 42nd percentile (81 games)

Hardest shot

129.5 km/h9th pct

▲ +1.6 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016022–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 126.4 km/h, 3rd percentile (24 games)2023–24: 140.9 km/h, 44th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 127.8 km/h, 5th percentile (68 games)2025–26: 129.5 km/h, 9th percentile (81 games)

Offensive-zone time

46.2%95th pct

▲ +0.4 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%50%22–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 45.8%, 88th percentile (24 games)2023–24: 47.8%, 97th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 45.9%, 93rd percentile (68 games)2025–26: 46.2%, 95th percentile (81 games)