Thu, Mar 2, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
42%
8%
43%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 22:54 | 0.67 | 45.5% | +20.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 22:50 | 0.69 | 46.1% | +20.4 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.15 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.17 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.21 | 54.4% | +28.7 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.44 | 43.5% | +28.7 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.05 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.64 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.30 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.08 | 37.7% | +20.4 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.17 | 62.1% | +28.7 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.06 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 3.63 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.09 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.10 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.16 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:10 | 0.81 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.03 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.10 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:55 | 0.76 | 48.9% | +17.8 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.38 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.12 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.04 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler ToffoliC · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.13 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZadorovD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.11 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Jakob PelletierLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.17 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.10 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Trevor LewisC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.22 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
 Walker DuehrRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.30 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | L | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.64 | +1.6 | 59:08 |