Thu, Mar 2, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
42%
8%
43%
CGY winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | O'Reilly–Tavares–Nylander | Lafferty–Acciari–Kampf | O'Reilly–Kerfoot–Lafferty | Tavares–Marner–Matthews | Kerfoot–Acciari–Kampf | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | O'Reilly–Jarnkrok–Kerfoot | O'Reilly–Kerfoot–Nylander | Kerfoot–Nylander–Kampf | Nylander–Marner–Matthews | Jarnkrok–Lafferty–Kampf | Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Kampf | Jarnkrok–Acciari–Kampf | Brodie–McCabe | Giordano–Holl | Rielly–Gustafsson | Schenn–Rielly | Schenn–Brodie | Schenn–Gustafsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane | 7:080.67–0.65 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.13 | 0:380.08–0.00 | 1:050.30–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:570.07–0.42 | 3:250.15–0.00 | 2:250.39–0.41 | 1:530.53–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kadri–Huberdeau–Pelletier | 1:340.08–0.02 | 3:070.19–0.04 | 1:510.08–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 1:420.05–0.48 | 3:370.10–0.09 | 2:000.16–0.00 | 0:540.15–0.02 | 2:150.05–0.46 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Toffoli–Lindholm–Dube | 1:350.09–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.06 | 0:370.14–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:220.14–0.06 | 3:320.00–0.03 | 1:570.09–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.17 | |||||||||||
| Lewis–Lucic–Duehr | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.05 | 1:100.36–0.12 | 0:480.22–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:210.22–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.19 | 1:180.36–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Weegar–Andersson | 3:310.34–0.13 | 2:390.16–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.19 | 0:520.03–0.00 | 0:520.14–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:500.18–0.25 | 4:170.16–0.11 | 1:390.00–0.02 | 1:290.35–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tanev–Hanifin | 5:410.39–0.23 | 1:060.03–0.04 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 3:530.06–0.18 | 3:420.06–0.11 | 1:400.07–0.12 | 2:210.19–0.25 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Zadorov–Gilbert | 1:560.08–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.05 | 1:170.08–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.45 | 0:430.26–0.06 | 0:430.22–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:110.29–0.00 | 2:390.08–0.05 | 2:060.33–0.17 | 0:480.00–0.45 | |||||||||
| Zadorov–Andersson | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hanifin–Gilbert | 0:560.00–0.43 | 0:430.00–0.29 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hanifin–Andersson | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 0:330.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Tanev–Weegar | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Weegar–Zadorov | 0:510.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Noah HanifinCGY | 34 | 24:29 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 23:45 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 32 | 23:33 | 0:44 | 2:07 | 2 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 22:54 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 7 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 22:50 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 7 | 1 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 33 | 21:41 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 28 | 20:29 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 4 | 5 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 25 | 20:10 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyTOR | 26 | 19:23 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 3 | 5 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 32 | 19:22 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 3 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 24 | 18:40 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 18:10 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 8 | 2 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 23 | 17:55 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 4 | 3 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 24 | 17:13 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 3 | 6 |
 Justin HollTOR | 28 | 16:59 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 19 | 16:47 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 27 | 16:46 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 2 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 15:55 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 8 | 2 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 19 | 15:46 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler ToffoliCGY | 19 | 15:26 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 23 | 15:25 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 1 | 5 |
 David KampfTOR | 22 | 15:23 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 2 | 6 |
 Nikita ZadorovCGY | 22 | 15:08 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Jakob PelletierCGY | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 20 | 14:26 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 21 | 14:19 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 3 | 2 |
 Dennis GilbertCGY | 18 | 12:21 | 0:41 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 22 | 11:41 | 0:32 | 0:51 | 2 | 5 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 16 | 11:21 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 2 | 6 |
 Trevor LewisCGY | 17 | 11:04 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 14 | 10:42 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 19 | 10:40 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik GustafssonTOR | 15 | 9:52 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 6 | 2 |
 Walker DuehrCGY | 14 | 9:15 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 13 | 8:51 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |